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The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Optimal state estimation for linear discrete-time systems is considered. Motivated by the literature on differential privacy, the measurements are assumed to be corrupted by Laplace noise. The optimal least mean square error estimate of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Farhad Farokhi , Jezdimir Milosevic , Henrik Sandberg

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

We propose a surrogate model for two-scale computational homogenization of elastostatics at finite strains. The macroscopic constitutive law is made numerically available via an explicit formulation of the associated macro-energy density.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Vien Minh Nguyen-Thanh , Lu Trong Khiem Nguyen , Timon Rabczuk , Xiaoying Zhuang

We introduce a generalized machine learning framework to probabilistically parameterize upper-scale models in the form of nonlinear PDEs consistent with a continuum theory, based on coarse-grained atomistic simulation data of mechanical…

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

Embedding physical knowledge into neural network (NN) training has been a hot topic. However, when facing the complex real-world, most of the existing methods still strongly rely on the quantity and quality of observation data. Furthermore,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Dashan Zhang , Yuntian Chen , Shiyi Chen

We propose a probabilistic way for reducing the cost of classical projection-based model order reduction methods for parameter-dependent linear equations. A reduced order model is here approximated from its random sketch, which is a set of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Oleg Balabanov , Anthony Nouy

A variety of algorithms have been proposed to address the power system state estimation problem in the presence of uncertainties in the data. However, less emphasis has been given to handling perturbations in the model. In the context of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Ayan Das , Anushka Sharma , Anamitra Pal

Constructing approximations that can accurately mimic the behavior of complex models at reduced computational costs is an important aspect of uncertainty quantification. Despite their flexibility and efficiency, classical surrogate models…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-29 S. Marelli , P. -R. Wagner , C. Lataniotis , B. Sudret

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

We study the fundamental problem of high-dimensional mean estimation in a robust model where a constant fraction of the samples are adversarially corrupted. Recent work gave the first polynomial time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge

The effect of uncertainties and noise on a quantity of interest (model output) is often better described by its probability density function (PDF) than by its moments. Although density estimation is a common task, the adequacy of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-21 Adi Ditkowski , Gadi Fibich , Amir Sagiv

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

We present a class of algorithms for state estimation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach is based on a variational Lagrangian formulation that casts Bayesian inference as a sequence of entropic trust-region updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Hany Abdulsamad , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Simo Särkkä

A symbolic approach to decentralized set-valued state estimation and prediction for systems that admit a hybrid state machine representations is proposed. The decentralized computational scheme represents a conj unction of a finite number…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Naim Bajcinca

Deregulation of energy markets, penetration of renewables, advanced metering capabilities, and the urge for situational awareness, all call for system-wide power system state estimation (PSSE). Implementing a centralized estimator though is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-03 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

Distance measurements demonstrate distinctive scalability when used for relative state estimation in large-scale multi-robot systems. Despite the attractiveness of distance measurements, multi-robot relative state estimation based on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Tianyue Wu , Fei Gao