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This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

Human decision-making in cognitive tasks and daily life exhibits considerable variability, shaped by factors such as task difficulty, individual preferences, and personal experiences. Understanding this variability across individuals is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Chen Wei , Chi Zhang , Jiachen Zou , Haotian Deng , Dietmar Heinke , Quanying Liu

Learning difficulties pose significant challenges for students, impacting their academic performance and overall educational experience. These difficulties could sometimes put students into a downward spiral that lack of educational…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Aaron Hu

Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML), a popular gradient-based meta-learning framework, assumes that the contribution of each task or instance to the meta-learner is equal. Hence, it fails to address the domain shift between base and novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Krishnateja Killamsetty , Changbin Li , Chen Zhao , Rishabh Iyer , Feng Chen

Modern civilian and military systems have created a demand for sophisticated intelligent autonomous machines capable of operating in uncertain dynamic environments. Such systems are realizable thanks in large part to major advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nicholas Conlon , Aastha Acharya , Nisar Ahmed

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This paper proposes a novel and statistical method of ability estimation based on acquisition distribution for a personalized computer aided question generation. This method captures the learning outcomes over time and provides a flexible…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Yi-Ting Huang , Meng Chang Chen , Yeali S. Sun

This study establishes the consistency of Bayesian adaptive testing methods under the Rasch model, addressing a gap in the literature on their large-sample guarantees. Although Bayesian approaches are recognized for their finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Hau-Hung Yang , Chia-Min Wei , Yu-Chang Chen

The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

We propose an algorithm to actively estimate the parameters of a linear dynamical system. Given complete control over the system's input, our algorithm adaptively chooses the inputs to accelerate estimation. We show a finite time bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Andrew Wagenmaker , Kevin Jamieson

We propose an adaptive multi-agent clustering recognition system that can be self-supervised driven, based on a temporal sequences continuous learning mechanism with adaptability. The system is designed to use some different functional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Xingyu Qian , Aximu Yuemaier , Longfei Liang , Wen-Chi Yang , Xiaogang Chen , Shunfen Li , Weibang Dai , Zhitang Song

In model-based learning, an agent's model is commonly defined over transitions between consecutive states of an environment even though planning often requires reasoning over multi-step timescales, with intermediate states either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Alexey Zakharov , Matthew Crosby , Zafeirios Fountas

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Meta-analysis is a statistical method used in evidence synthesis for combining, analyzing and summarizing studies that have the same target endpoint and aims to derive a pooled quantitative estimate using fixed and random effects models or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Ivette Raices Cruz , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Johan Lindström , Ullrika Sahlin

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Kaiwen Hou

While adaptive experimental design has outgrown one-dimensional, staircase-based adaptations, most cognitive experiments still control a single factor and summarize performance with a scalar. We show a validation of a Bayesian, two-axis,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Dom CP Marticorena , Chris Wissmann , Zeyu Lu , Dennis L Barbour

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mijung Park

In many settings, such as scientific inference, optimization, and transfer learning, the learner has a well-defined objective, which can be treated as estimation of a target parameter, and no intrinsic interest in characterizing the entire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Sabina J. Sloman , Ayush Bharti , Julien Martinelli , Samuel Kaski

Bayesian Active Learning has had significant impact to various NLP problems, but nevertheless it's application to text summarization has been explored very little. We introduce Bayesian Active Summarization (BAS), as a method of combining…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Alexios Gidiotis , Grigorios Tsoumakas