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We design a prediction market to recover a complete and fully general probability distribution over a random variable. Traders buy and sell interval securities that pay \$1 if the outcome falls into an interval and \$0 otherwise. Our market…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Miroslav Dudík , Xintong Wang , David M. Pennock , David M. Rothschild

This paper develops a robust mathematical framework for Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) by transitioning from traditional token reserve analyses to a coordinate system defined by price and intrinsic liquidity. We establish a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Jimmy Risk , Shen-Ning Tung , Tai-Ho Wang

Automated market makers with concentrated liquidity capabilities are programmable at the tick level. The maximization of earned fees, plus depreciated reserves, is a convex optimization problem whose vector solution gives the best provision…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-30 Corinne Powers

In an observed generalized semi-Markov regime, estimation of transition rate of regime switching leads towards calculation of locally risk minimizing option price. Despite the uniform convergence of estimated step function of transition…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Anindya Goswami , Sanket Nandan

In this study, we developed a computational framework for simulating large-scale agent-based financial markets. Our platform supports trading multiple simultaneous assets and leverages distributed computing to scale the number and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-01 Aaron Wheeler , Jeffrey D. Varner

This paper studies the question whether automated market maker protocols such as Uniswap can sustainably retain a portion of their trading fees for the protocol. We approach the problem by modelling how to optimally choose a pool's take…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-30 Robin Fritsch , Samuel Käser , Roger Wattenhofer

In a typical quantum circuit, nonlocal quantum gates are applied to nonproximal qubits. If the underlying physical interactions are short-range (e.g., exchange interactions between spins), intermediate swap operations must be introduced,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-01-04 Jianjia Fei , Dong Zhou , Yun-Pil Shim , Sangchul Oh , Xuedong Hu , Mark Friesen

We focus on the problem of market making in high-frequency trading. Market making is a critical function in financial markets that involves providing liquidity by buying and selling assets. However, the increasing complexity of financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Jiafa He , Cong Zheng , Can Yang

Due to the evergrowing blockchain ecosystem, interoperability has become a matter of great importance. Atomic swaps allow connecting otherwise isolated blockchains while adhering to the core principles of censorship resistance and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Philipp Hoenisch , Lucas Soriano del Pino

It was recently demonstrated that a simple Monte Carlo (MC) algorithm involving the swap of particle pairs dramatically accelerates the equilibrium sampling of simulated supercooled liquids. We propose two numerical schemes integrating the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-24 Ludovic Berthier , Elijah Flenner , Christopher J. Fullerton , Camille Scalliet , Murari Singh

Centralized monetary policy, leading to persistent inflation, is often inconsistent, untrustworthy, and unpredictable. Algorithmic stablecoins enabled by blockchain technology are promising in solving this problem. Algorithmic stablecoins…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-17 Luyao Zhang , Yulin Liu

Multiple Constant Multiplication (MCM) over integers is a frequent operation arising in embedded systems that require highly optimized hardware. An efficient way is to replace costly generic multiplication by bit-shifts and additions, i.e.…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Rémi Garcia , Anastasia Volkova

We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Iddo Bentov , Alex Mizrahi , Meni Rosenfeld

We present a new type of spin market model, populated by hierarchical agents, represented as configurations of sites and arcs in an evolving network. We describe two analytic techniques for investigating the asymptotic behavior of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Ted Theodosopoulos

Decentralized exchanges are revolutionizing finance. With their ever-growing increase in popularity, a natural question that begs to be asked is: how efficient are these new markets? We find that nearly 30% of analyzed trades are executed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Jan Arvid Berg , Robin Fritsch , Lioba Heimbach , Roger Wattenhofer

We present an experimental study of decentralized two-sided matching markets with no transfers. Experimental participants are informed of everyone's preferences and can make arbitrary non-binding match offers that get finalized when a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-22 Federico Echenique , Alejandro Robinson-Cortés , Leeat Yariv

Cross-chain swaps enable exchange of different assets that reside on different blockchains. Several protocols have been proposed for atomic cross-chain swaps. However, those protocols are not fault-tolerant, in the sense that if any party…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Yingjie Xue , Di Jin , Maurice Herlihy

The embedding problem of Markov transition matrices into continuous-time Markov semigroups is a classic problem that regained a lot of impetus and activities in recent years. We consider it here for the following generalisation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Ellen Baake , Michael Baake

Correct swap action can be realized via the control of the anisotropic Heisenberg interaction in solid-state quantum systems. The conditions of performing a swap are derived by the dynamics of arbitrary bipartite pure state. It is found…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Xiang Hao , Shiqun Zhu

We construct realistic spot and equity option market simulators for a single underlying on the basis of normalizing flows. We address the high-dimensionality of market observed call prices through an arbitrage-free autoencoder that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Magnus Wiese , Ben Wood , Alexandre Pachoud , Ralf Korn , Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Lianjun Bai
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