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In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

Let S be a denumerable state space and let P be a transition probability matrix on S. If a denumerable set M of nonnegative matrices is such that the sum of the matrices is equal to P, then we call M a partition of P. Let K denote the set…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Thomas Kaijser

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

We establish a new integral equation for the probability density of the exponential functional of a L\'evy process and provide a three-term (Wiener-Hopf type) factorisation of its law. We explain how these results complement the techniques…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Jonas Arista , Víctor M. Rivero

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Loïc Chaumont , Andreas Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Víctor Rivero

Let $D\subset R^d$ be a bounded domain and denote by $\mathcal P(D)$ the space of probability measures on $D$. Let \begin{equation*} L=\frac12\nabla\cdot a\nabla +b\nabla \end{equation*} be a second order elliptic operator. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Ross G. Pinsky

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

There is a relation between the irreversibility of thermodynamic processes as expressed by the breaking of time-reversal symmetry, and the entropy production in such processes. We explain on an elementary mathematical level the relations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Maes , K. Netocny

The partially asymmetric exclusion process (PASEP) is an important model from statistical mechanics which describes a system of interacting particles hopping left and right on a one-dimensional lattice of N sites. It is partially asymmetric…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sylvie Corteel , Lauren K. Williams

This article contains new tools for studying the shape of the stationary distribution of sizes in a dynamic economic system in which units experience random multiplicative shocks and are occasionally reset. Each unit has a Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-02 Brendan K. Beare , Alexis Akira Toda

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional random geometric graph process with the inter-nodal gaps evolving according to an exponential AR(1) process, which may serve as a mobile wireless network model. The transition probability matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-12-09 Yilun Shang

A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Lisa Balsollier , Frédéric Lavancier

We prove the convergence at an exponential rate towards the invariant probability measure for a class of solutions of stochastic differential equations with finite delay. This is done, in this non-Markovian setting, using the cluster…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Laure Pédèches

This work focuses on off-policy evaluation (OPE) with function approximation in infinite-horizon undiscounted Markov decision processes (MDPs). For MDPs that are ergodic and linear (i.e. where rewards and dynamics are linear in some known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Nevena Lazic , Dong Yin , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Nir Levine , Dilan Gorur , Chris Harris , Dale Schuurmans

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence of exponential integrals of Markov additive processes. Other than in the classical L\'evy case studied by Erickson and Maller we have to distinguish between almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Anita Behme , Apostolos Sideris

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

There is a random variable (X) with a determined outcome (i.e., X = x0), p(x0) = 1. Consider x0 to have a discrete uniform distribution over the integer interval [1, s], where the size of the sample space (s) = 1, in the initial state, such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Laurence F Lacey
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