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Related papers: Weighted-Graph-Based Change Point Detection

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A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Offline change point detection retrospectively locates change points in a time series. Many nonparametric methods that target i.i.d. mean and variance changes fail in the presence of nonlinear temporal dependence, and model based methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Change-points in time series data are usually defined as the time instants at which changes in their properties occur. Detecting change-points is critical in a number of applications as diverse as detecting credit card and insurance frauds,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 André Ferrari , Cédric Richard , Anthony Bourrier , Ikram Bouchikhi

Change point detection becomes more and more important as datasets increase in size, where unsupervised detection algorithms can help users process data. To detect change points, a number of unsupervised algorithms have been developed which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Rebecca Gedda , Larisa Beilina , Ruomu Tan

Many offline unsupervised change point detection algorithms rely on minimizing a penalized sum of segment-wise costs. We extend this framework by proposing to minimize a sum of discrepancies between segments. In particular, we propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Aurélien Serre , Didier Chételat , Andrea Lodi

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

Methods in the field of quickest change detection rapidly detect in real-time a change in the data-generating distribution of an online data stream. Existing methods have been able to detect this change point when the densities of the pre-…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Sean Moushegian , Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Jie Ding , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

We present a new non-parametric statistic, called the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence, based on empirical distributions for sequential change detection. We start by constructing the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence as a fundamental building block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

This article considers change point testing and estimation for a sequence of high-dimensional data. In the case of testing for a mean shift for high-dimensional independent data, we propose a new test which is based on $U$-statistic in Chen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Runmin Wang , Changbo Zhu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei

This paper introduces a probabilistic approach for tracking the dynamics of unweighted and directed graphs using state-space models (SSMs). Unlike conventional topology inference methods that assume static graphs and generate point-wise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-13 Victor M. Tenorio , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus , Antonio G. Marques

In many applications, it is often of practical and scientific interest to detect anomaly events in a streaming sequence of high-dimensional or non-Euclidean observations. We study a non-parametric framework that utilizes nearest neighbor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

We develop a mixture procedure to monitor parallel streams of data for a change-point that affects only a subset of them, without assuming a spatial structure relating the data streams to one another. Observations are assumed initially to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Yao Xie , David Siegmund

Existing methods for high-dimensional changepoint detection and localization typically focus on changes in either the mean vector or the covariance matrix separately. This separation reduces detection power and localization accuracy when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Junfeng Cui , Guangming Pan , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

We study the problem of online network change point detection. In this setting, a collection of independent Bernoulli networks is collected sequentially, and the underlying distributions change when a change point occurs. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo