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The outbreak of COVID-19 i.e. a variation of coronavirus, also known as novel corona virus causing respiratory disease is a big concern worldwide since the end of December 2019. As of September 12, 2020, it has turned into an epidemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Neeraj , Jimson Mathew , Ranjan Kumar Behera , Zenin Easa Panthakkalakath

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Alexander Stepikin , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

The spread of diseases has been studied for many years, but it receives a particular focus recently due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19. Studies show that the spread of COVID-19 can be characterized by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Xiaoxu Zhong , Yukun Ye

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improve emerging infectious disease forecasting under operational…

Artificial intelligence has made remarkable progress in handling complex tasks, thanks to advances in hardware acceleration and machine learning algorithms. However, to acquire more accurate outcomes and solve more complex issues,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Mohammad Dehghani , Zahra Yazdanparast

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

During the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, mathematical models of epidemic spreading have emerged as powerful tools to produce valuable predictions of the evolution of the pandemic, helping public health authorities decide which intervention…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Predictive monitoring of business processes is concerned with the prediction of ongoing cases on a business process. Lately, the popularity of deep learning techniques has propitiated an ever-growing set of approaches focused on predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Deep learning is transforming many areas in science, and it has great potential in modeling molecular systems. However, unlike the mature deployment of deep learning in computer vision and natural language processing, its development in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-19 Jun Zhang , Yao-Kun Lei , Zhen Zhang , Junhan Chang , Maodong Li , Xu Han , Lijiang Yang , Yi Isaac Yang , Yi Qin Gao

Deep learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, is a data-driven method that uses multiple layers of interconnected units or neurons to learn intricate patterns and representations directly from raw input data. Empowered by this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Mohd Halim Mohd Noor , Ayokunle Olalekan Ige

During an infectious disease pandemic, it is critical to share electronic medical records or models (learned from these records) across regions. Applying one region's data/model to another region often have distribution shift issues that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Ye Ye , Andrew Gu

We introduce DeepGLEAM, a hybrid model for COVID-19 forecasting. DeepGLEAM combines a mechanistic stochastic simulation model GLEAM with deep learning. It uses deep learning to learn the correction terms from GLEAM, which leads to improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Dongxia Wu , Liyao Gao , Xinyue Xiong , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

An accurate and efficient forecasting system is imperative to the prevention of emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in public health. This system requires accurate transient modeling, lower computation cost, and fewer observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Dongdong Wang , Shunpu Zhang , Liqiang Wang

The ability to anticipate possible future human actions is essential for a wide range of applications, including autonomous driving and human-robot interaction. Consequently, numerous methods have been introduced for action anticipation in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Zeyun Zhong , Manuel Martin , Michael Voit , Juergen Gall , Jürgen Beyerer

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra