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A large collection of time series poses significant challenges for classical and neural forecasting approaches. Classical time series models fail to fit data well and to scale to large problems, but succeed at providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola

The Gaussian graphical model is a widely used tool for learning gene regulatory networks with high-dimensional gene expression data. Most existing methods for Gaussian graphical models assume that the data are homogeneous, i.e., all samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-08 Bochao Jia , Faming Liang

The transition to a smarter grid is empowered by enhanced sensor deployments and smart metering infrastructure in the distribution system. Measurements from these sensors and meters can be used for many applications, including distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Shweta Dahale , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

To obtain a probabilistic model for a dependent variable based on some set of explanatory variables, a distributional approach is often adopted where the parameters of the distribution are linked to regressors. In many classical models this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit strong sensitivity to initial conditions and often contain unresolved multiscale processes, making deterministic forecasting fundamentally limited. Generative models offer an appealing alternative by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Patrick Wyrod , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Daniele Venturi

Generative dynamic texture models (GDTMs) are widely used for dynamic texture (DT) segmentation in the video sequences. GDTMs represent DTs as a set of linear dynamical systems (LDSs). A major limitation of these models concerns the…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Sahar Yousefi , M. T. Manzuri Shalmani , Antoni B. Chan

The forecasting of Multivariate Time Series (MTS) has long been an important but challenging task. Due to the non-stationary problem across long-distance time steps, previous studies primarily adopt stationarization method to attenuate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Muyao Wang , Wenchao Chen , Bo Chen

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Deep generative models provide a systematic way to learn nonlinear data distributions, through a set of latent variables and a nonlinear "generator" function that maps latent points into the input space. The nonlinearity of the generator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Georgios Arvanitidis , Lars Kai Hansen , Søren Hauberg

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) are widely used in high-dimensional data analysis to synthesize the interaction between variables. In many applications, such as genomics or image analysis, graphical models rely on sparsity and clustering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Do Edmond Sanou , Christophe Ambroise , Geneviève Robin

Novel view synthesis of dynamic scenes is fundamental to achieving photorealistic 4D reconstruction and immersive visual experiences. Recent progress in Gaussian-based representations has significantly improved real-time rendering quality,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Zhanfeng Liao , Jiajun Zhang , Hanzhang Tu , Zhixi Wang , Yunqi Gao , Hongwen Zhang , Yebin Liu

Financial time series forecasting in zero-shot settings is critical for investment decisions, especially during abrupt market regime shifts or in emerging markets with limited historical data. While Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Anxian Liu , Junying Ma , Guang Zhang

Developments in Deep Learning have significantly improved time series forecasting by enabling more accurate modeling of complex temporal dependencies inherent in sequential data. The effectiveness of such models is often demonstrated on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Victoria Hankemeier , Malte Schilling

We study the sparse high-dimensional Gaussian mixture model when the number of clusters is allowed to grow with the sample size. A minimax lower bound for parameter estimation is established, and we show that a constrained maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Dapeng Yao , Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Gaussian mixture models are a popular tool for model-based clustering, and mixtures of factor analyzers are Gaussian mixture models having parsimonious factor covariance structure for mixture components. There are several recent extensions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

This paper proposes using a sparse-structured multivariate Gaussian to provide a closed-form approximator for the output of probabilistic ensemble models used for dense image prediction tasks. This is achieved through a convolutional neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Ivor J. A. Simpson , Sara Vicente , Neill D. F. Campbell

Deep multi-view clustering seeks to utilize the abundant information from multiple views to improve clustering performance. However, most of the existing clustering methods often neglect to fully mine multi-view structural information and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Jinrong Cui , Xiaohuang Wu , Haitao Zhang , Chongjie Dong , Jie Wen