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This article explores the required amount of time series points from a high-speed traffic network to accurately estimate the Hurst exponent. The methodology consists in designing an experiment using estimators that are applied to time…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-09 G. Millán

The Hurst exponent is a significant metric for characterizing time sequences with long-term memory property and it arises in many fields. The available methods for estimating the Hurst exponent can be categorized into time-domain and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-23 Hong-Yan Zhang , Zhi-Qiang Feng , Si-Yu Feng , Yu Zhou

It is well-known that fractal signals appear in many fields of science. LAN and WWW traces, wireless traffic, VBR resources, etc. are among the ones with this behavior in computer networks traffic flows. An important question in these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-10 G. Millán

In this paper it presents, develops and discusses the existence of a process with long scope memory structure, representing of the independence between the degree of randomness of the traffic generated by the sources and flow pattern…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 G. Millán

The Hurst exponent is the simplest numerical summary of self-similar long-range dependent stochastic processes. We consider the estimation of Hurst exponent in long-range dependent curve time series. Our estimation method begins by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Han Lin Shang

Hurst Exponent has been widely used in different fields as a measure of long range dependence in time series. It has been studied in hydrology and geophysics, economics and finance, and recently, it is still a hot topic in the different…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-24 Roel F. Ceballos , Fe F. Largo

We empirically investigated the relationships between the degree of efficiency and the predictability in financial time-series data. The Hurst exponent was used as the measurement of the degree of efficiency, and the hit rate calculated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Sunghoon Choi , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

Fractal behavior and long-range dependence are widely observed in measurements and characterization of traffic flow in high-speed computer networks of different technologies and coverage levels. This paper presents the results obtained when…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-07-13 G. Millán , G. Lefranc , R. Osorio-Comparán , V. Lomas-Barrie

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data, observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. When the intensity $\tau_n$ of the noise is smaller in order than $n^{-H}$ we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Grégoire Szymanski

The Bayesian Hurst-Kolmogorov (HK) method estimates the Hurst exponent of a time series more accurately than the age-old detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), especially when the time series is short. However, this advantage comes at the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-31 Madhur Mangalam , Taylor Wilson , Joel Sommerfeld , Aaron D Likens

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

This paper presents $whittlehurst$, a Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood method for estimating the Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion (fBm). While the theoretical foundations of Whittle's estimator are…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Bálint Csanády , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács

An extensive body of research deals with estimating the correlation and the Hurst parameter of Internet traffic traces. The significance of these statistics is due to their fundamental impact on network performance. The coverage of Internet…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-08-15 Amr Rizk , Zdravko Bozakov , Markus Fidler

We apply the Hurst exponent idea for investigation of DJIA index time-series data. The behavior of the local Hurst exponent prior to drastic changes in financial series signal is analyzed. The optimal length of the time-window over which…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Grech , Z. Mazur

We propose an algorithm to estimate the Hurst exponent of high-dimensional fractals, based on a generalized high-dimensional variance around a moving average low-pass filter. As working examples, we consider rough surfaces generated by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-20 Anna Carbone

Scale invariance (fractality) is a prominent feature of the large-scale behavior of many stochastic systems. In this work, we construct an algorithm for the statistical identification of the Hurst distribution (in particular, the scaling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier , Oliver Orejola , Herwig Wendt

We introduce two new estimators of the bivariate Hurst exponent in the power-law cross-correlations setting -- the cross-periodogram and local $X$-Whittle estimators -- as generalizations of their univariate counterparts. As the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-11 Ladislav Kristoufek

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

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