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Emerging techniques in computer science make it possible to "brain scan" large language models (LLMs), identify the plain-English concepts that guide their reasoning, and steer them while holding other factors constant. We show that this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Hui Chen , Antoine Didisheim , Mohammad , Pourmohammadi , Luciano Somoza , Hanqing Tian

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

Machine Learning (ML) models typically require large-scale, balanced training data to be robust, generalizable, and effective in the context of healthcare. This has been a major issue for developing ML models for the coronavirus-disease…

Empirical researchers increasingly use upstream machine-learning (ML) methods to construct proxies for latent target variables from complex, unstructured data. A naive plug-in use of such proxies in downstream econometric models, however,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Lixiong Li

This paper provides a comprehensive survey of recent advancements in leveraging machine learning techniques, particularly Transformer models, for predicting human mobility patterns during epidemics. Understanding how people move during…

The prediction of behavior in dynamical systems, is frequently subject to the design of models. When a time series obtained from observing the system is available, the task can be performed by designing the model from these observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Pedro Garcia

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Large and acute economic shocks such as the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the current COVID-19 infections rapidly change the economic environment. In such a situation, the importance of real-time economic analysis using alternative datais…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Takamichi Toda , Daisuke Moriwaki , Kazuhiro Ota

Due to the high mutation rate of the virus, the COVID-19 pandemic evolved rapidly. Certain variants of the virus, such as Delta and Omicron, emerged with altered viral properties leading to severe transmission and death rates. These…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-29 Rohitash Chandra , Chaarvi Bansal , Mingyue Kang , Tom Blau , Vinti Agarwal , Pranjal Singh , Laurence O. W. Wilson , Seshadri Vasan

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

The increasing capabilities of Machine Learning (ML) models go hand in hand with an immense amount of data and computational power required for training. Therefore, training is usually outsourced into HPC facilities, where we have started…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Sabrina Herbst , Vincenzo De Maio , Ivona Brandic

Metabolomic data can potentially enable accurate, non-invasive and low-cost prediction of coronary artery disease. Regression-based analytical approaches however might fail to fully account for interactions between metabolites, rely on a…

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) is the prediction of key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation on the 2-week to 2-month time horizon. Skillful SSF would have substantial societal value in areas such as agricultural…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-12 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Laurie Trenary , Benjamin A Cash , Timothy DelSole , Arindam Banerjee

Social media platforms provide valuable insights into mental health trends by capturing user-generated discussions on conditions such as depression, anxiety, and suicidal ideation. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Zhanyi Ding , Zhongyan Wang , Yeyubei Zhang , Yuchen Cao , Yunchong Liu , Xiaorui Shen , Yexin Tian , Jianglai Dai

This systematic review examines how machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) have transformed forecasting, decision-making, and financial modelling, promoting innovation and efficiency in financial systems. Following PRISMA 2020…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Soufiane El Amine El Alami , Abderazzak Mouiha , Abdelatif Hafid , Ahmed El Hilali Alaoui

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting. This study explores an application of machine learning (ML) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Elena Orlova , Haokun Liu , Raphael Rossellini , Benjamin A. Cash , Rebecca Willett

A great deal of attention has been recently given to Machine Learning (ML) techniques in many different application fields. This paper provides a vision of what ML can do in Power Line Communications (PLC). We firstly and briefly describe…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-07 Andrea M. Tonello , Nunzio A. Letizia , Davide Righini , Francesco Marcuzzi