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We explore whether useful temporal neural generative models can be learned from sequential data without back-propagation through time. We investigate the viability of a more neurocognitively-grounded approach in the context of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Alexander G. Ororbia , Patrick Haffner , David Reitter , C. Lee Giles

Developments in Deep Learning have significantly improved time series forecasting by enabling more accurate modeling of complex temporal dependencies inherent in sequential data. The effectiveness of such models is often demonstrated on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Victoria Hankemeier , Malte Schilling

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

Implementing insect monitoring systems provides an excellent opportunity to create accurate interventions for insect control. However, selecting the appropriate time for an intervention is still an open question due to the inherent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-29 Gabriel R. Palma , Rodrigo F. Mello , Wesley A. C. Godoy , Eduardo Engel , Douglas Lau , Charles Markham , Rafael A. Moral

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

The evolutionary processes of complex systems contain critical information regarding their functional characteristics. The generation time of edges provides insights into the historical evolution of various networked complex systems, such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 En Xu , Can Rong , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

This study presents the extension of the data-driven optimal prediction approach to the dynamical system with control. The optimal prediction is used to analyze dynamical systems in which the states consist of resolved and unresolved…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Aleksandr Katrutsa , Ivan Oseledets , Sergey Utyuzhnikov

Data augmentation methods have been shown to be a fundamental technique to improve generalization in tasks such as image, text and audio classification. Recently, automated augmentation methods have led to further improvements on image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

Data-efficient image classification is a challenging task that aims to solve image classification using small training data. Neural network-based deep learning methods are effective for image classification, but they typically require…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Ying Bi , Bing Xue , Mengjie Zhang

Uncertainty quantification of predictive models is crucial in decision-making problems. Conformal prediction is a general and theoretically sound answer. However, it requires exchangeable data, excluding time series. While recent works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-16 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Olivier Féron , Yannig Goude , Julie Josse

We present a data-driven optimization approach for robotic controlled deposition with a degradable tool. Existing methods make the assumption that the tool tip is not changing or is replaced frequently. Errors can accumulate over time as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Tony Zheng , Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Francesco Borrelli

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

This paper investigates the data-driven predictive control problems for a class of continuous-time industrial processes with completely unknown dynamics. The proposed approach employs the data-driven technique to get the system matrices…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi

Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

Learning the continuous dynamics of a system from snapshots of its temporal marginals is a problem which appears throughout natural sciences and machine learning, including in quantum systems, single-cell biological data, and generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Kirill Neklyudov , Rob Brekelmans , Daniel Severo , Alireza Makhzani

We present a numerical framework for recovering unknown non-autonomous dynamical systems with time-dependent inputs. To circumvent the difficulty presented by the non-autonomous nature of the system, our method transforms the solution state…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-04 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

In the last couple of decades, there has been major advancements in the domain of missing data imputation. The techniques in the domain include amongst others: Expectation Maximization, Neural Networks with Evolutionary Algorithms or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-12-07 Collins Leke , Tshilidzi Marwala , Satyakama Paul