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The risk of conflict is exasperated by a multitude of internal and external factors. Current multivariate analysis paints diverse causal risk profiles that vary with time. However, these profiles evolve and a universal model to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-30 Gerardo Aquino , Weisi Guo , Alan Wilson

A multilevel network is defined as the junction of two interaction networks, one level representing the interactions between individuals and the other the interactions between organizations. The levels are linked by an affiliation…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Saint-Clair Chabert-Liddell , Pierre Barbillon , Sophie Donnet , Emmanuel Lazega

The study of network data in the social and health sciences frequently concentrates on two distinct tasks (1) detecting community structures among nodes and (2) associating covariate information to edge formation. In much of this data, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Heather Mathews , Alexander Volfovsky

In many applications it is of interest to identify anomalous behavior within a dynamic interacting system. Such anomalous interactions are reflected by structural changes in the network representation of the system. We propose and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-01 James D. Wilson , Nathaniel T. Stevens , William H. Woodall

The focus of this paper is an approach to the modeling of longitudinal social network or relational data. Such data arise from measurements on pairs of objects or actors made at regular temporal intervals, resulting in a social network for…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-18 Anton H. Westveld , Peter D. Hoff

Biological neural networks are notoriously hard to model due to their stochastic behavior and high dimensionality. We tackle this problem by constructing a dynamical model of both the expectations and covariances of the fractions of active…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Vincent Painchaud , Patrick Desrosiers , Nicolas Doyon

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. This paper proposes a new statistical model for such systems, modeled as dynamic networks, to address this challenge. It…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

Dynamic networks are used in a variety of fields to represent the structure and evolution of the relationships between entities. We present a model which embeds longitudinal network data as trajectories in a latent Euclidean space. A Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen

We present a statistical framework for generating predicted dynamic networks based on the observed evolution of social relationships in a population. The framework includes a novel and flexible procedure to sample dynamic networks given a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Ravi Goyal , Victor De Gruttola

This article illustrates an approach to forecasting change in conflict fatalities designed to address the complexity of the drivers and processes of armed conflicts. The design of this approach is based on two main choices. First, to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-30 Fulvio Attinà , Marcello Carammia , Stefano Maria Iacus

We propose a new dynamic stochastic blockmodel that focuses on the analysis of interaction lengths in networks. The model does not rely on a discretization of the time dimension and may be used to analyze networks that evolve continuously…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Riccardo Rastelli , Michael Fop

Modeling relations between individuals is a classical question in social sciences, ecology, etc. In order to uncover a latent structure in the data, a popular approach consists in clustering individuals according to the observed patterns of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-28 Avner Bar-Hen , Pierre Barbillon , Sophie Donnet

Decades of research has found that democratic dyads rarely exhibit violent tendencies, making the democratic peace arguably the principal finding of Peace Science. However, the democratic peace rests upon a dyadic understanding of conflict.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-13 Benjamin Campbell , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

Statistical network models are useful for understanding the underlying formation mechanism and characteristics of complex networks. However, statistical models for \textit{signed networks} have been largely unexplored. In signed networks,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Weijing Tang , Ji Zhu

We explore the coupled dynamics of the internal states of a set of interacting elements and the network of interactions among them. Interactions are modeled by a spatial game and the network of interaction links evolves adapting to the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-23 Martin G. Zimmermann , Victor M. Eguiluz , Maxi San Miguel

Observations consisting of measurements on relationships for pairs of objects arise in many settings, such as protein interaction and gene regulatory networks, collections of author-recipient email, and social networks. Analyzing such data…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-22 Edoardo M Airoldi , David M Blei , Stephen E Fienberg , Eric P Xing

Relational data-like graphs, networks, and matrices-is often dynamic, where the relational structure evolves over time. A fundamental problem in the analysis of time-varying network data is to extract a summary of the common structure and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Myunghwan Kim , Jure Leskovec

Many real-world complex systems are well represented as multilayer networks; predicting interactions in those systems is one of the most pressing problems in predictive network science. To address this challenge, we introduce two stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Tarres-Deulofeu , Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

Dynamic social networks can be conceptualized as sequences of dyadic interactions between individuals over time. The relational event model has been the workhorse to analyze such interaction sequences in empirical social network research.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Rumana Lakdawala , Roger Leenders , Joris Mulder

This paper proposes a stochastic block model with dynamics where the population grows using preferential attachment. Nodes with higher weighted degree are more likely to recruit new nodes, and nodes always recruit nodes from their own…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Simina Brânzei , Nithish Kumar , Gireeja Ranade