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Probabilistic programs with dynamic computation graphs can define measures over sample spaces with unbounded dimensionality, which constitute programmatic analogues to Bayesian nonparametrics. Owing to the generality of this model class,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Eli Sennesh , Adam Ścibior , Hao Wu , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Monte Carlo inference has asymptotic guarantees, but can be slow when using generic proposals. Handcrafted proposals that rely on user knowledge about the posterior distribution can be efficient, but are difficult to derive and implement.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Effective implementations of sampling-based probabilistic inference often require manually constructed, model-specific proposals. Inspired by recent progresses in meta-learning for training learning agents that can generalize to unseen…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Tongzhou Wang , Yi Wu , David A. Moore , Stuart J. Russell

We introduce a method for using deep neural networks to amortize the cost of inference in models from the family induced by universal probabilistic programming languages, establishing a framework that combines the strengths of probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Tuan Anh Le , Atilim Gunes Baydin , Frank Wood

We propose an inference procedure for estimators defined by mathematical programming problems, focusing on the important special cases of linear programming (LP) and quadratic programming (QP). In these settings, the coefficients in both…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-09-27 Yu-Wei Hsieh , Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum

Probabilistic inference procedures are usually coded painstakingly from scratch, for each target model and each inference algorithm. We reduce this effort by generating inference procedures from models automatically. We make this code…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Robert Zinkov , Chung-chieh Shan

We present probabilistic neural programs, a framework for program induction that permits flexible specification of both a computational model and inference algorithm while simultaneously enabling the use of deep neural networks.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-12-05 Kenton W. Murray , Jayant Krishnamurthy

Compared to the wide array of advanced Monte Carlo methods supported by modern probabilistic programming languages (PPLs), PPL support for variational inference (VI) is less developed: users are typically limited to a predefined selection…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-25 McCoy R. Becker , Alexander K. Lew , Xiaoyan Wang , Matin Ghavami , Mathieu Huot , Martin C. Rinard , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

Probabilistic programs provide an expressive representation language for generative models. Given a probabilistic program, we are interested in the task of posterior inference: estimating a latent variable given a set of observed variables.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman

We develop a technique for generalising from data in which models are samplers represented as program text. We establish encouraging empirical results that suggest that Markov chain Monte Carlo probabilistic programming inference techniques…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-11 Yura N. Perov , Frank D. Wood

We develop amortized population Gibbs (APG) samplers, a class of scalable methods that frames structured variational inference as adaptive importance sampling. APG samplers construct high-dimensional proposals by iterating over updates to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-13 Hao Wu , Heiko Zimmermann , Eli Sennesh , Tuan Anh Le , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Probabilistic programming is considered as a framework, in which basic components of cognitive architectures can be represented in unified and elegant fashion. At the same time, necessity of adopting some component of cognitive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Alexey Potapov

Inference algorithms for probabilistic programming are complex imperative programs with many moving parts. Efficient inference often requires customising an algorithm to a particular probabilistic model or problem, sometimes called…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Minh Nguyen , Roly Perera , Meng Wang , Steven Ramsay

Recently, there has been considerable progress on designing algorithms with provable guarantees -- typically using linear algebraic methods -- for parameter learning in latent variable models. But designing provable algorithms for inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-30 Sanjeev Arora , Rong Ge , Frederic Koehler , Tengyu Ma , Ankur Moitra

Inference metaprogramming enables effective probabilistic programming by supporting the decomposition of executions of probabilistic programs into subproblems and the deployment of hybrid probabilistic inference algorithms that apply…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Shivam Handa , Vikash Mansinghka , Martin Rinard

We present a new approach to automatic amortized inference in universal probabilistic programs which improves performance compared to current methods. Our approach is a variation of inference compilation (IC) which leverages deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 William Harvey , Andreas Munk , Atılım Güneş Baydin , Alexander Bergholm , Frank Wood

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Daniel Ritchie , Paul Horsfall , Noah D. Goodman

Models of complex systems are often formalized as sequential software simulators: computationally intensive programs that iteratively build up probable system configurations given parameters and initial conditions. These simulators enable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Ardavan Saeedi , Vlad Firoiu , Vikash Mansinghka
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