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In this paper, we build a mechanistic system to understand the relation between a reduction in human mobility and Covid-19 spread dynamics within New York City. To this end, we propose a multivariate compartmental model that jointly models…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-06 Ian Frankenburg , Sudipto Banerjee

Implementing a lockdown for disease mitigation is a balancing act: Non-pharmaceutical interventions can reduce disease transmission significantly, but interventions also have considerable societal costs. Therefore, decision-makers need near…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-01 Andreas Koher , Frederik Jørgensen , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann

In this paper, our goal is to analyze and compare cellular network usage data from pre-lockdown, during lockdown, and post-lockdown phases surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic to understand and model human mobility patterns during the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Necati A. Ayan , Nilson L. Damasceno , Sushil Chaskar , Peron R. de Sousa , Arti Ramesh , Anand Seetharam , Antonio A. de A. Rocha

The aim of this paper is to infer the effects that changes on human mobility had on the transmission dynamics during the first four months of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Costa Rica, before community transmission was established in the…

By the end of July 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had infected more than seventeen million people and had spread to almost all countries worldwide. In response, many countries all over the world have used different methods to reduce the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-21 Hilla De-Leon , Francesco Pederiva

In 2020 and 2021, the spread of COVID-19 was globally addressed by imposing restrictions on the distance of individual travel. Recent literature has uncovered a clear pattern in human mobility that underlies the complexity of urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-05 Cate Heine , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Paolo Santi , Li Yan , Carlo Ratti

The worldwide outbreak of COVID-19 has posed a dire threat to the public. Human mobility has changed in various ways over the course of the pandemic. Despite current studies on common mobility metrics, research specifically on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-08 Weiyi Zhou , Minha Lee , Qianqian Sun , Weiyu Luo , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

COVID-19 has disrupted the global economy and well-being of people at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. To contain the disease, an effective early warning system that predicts the locations of outbreaks is of crucial importance. Studies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Satish V Ukkusuri

We propose a detailed discrete-time model of COVID-19 epidemics coming in two flavours, mean-field and probabilistic. The main contribution lies in several extensions of the basic model that capture i) user mobility - distinguishing…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-14 M. Akian , L. Ganassali , S. Gaubert , L. Massoulié

After COVID-19 was first reported in China at the end of 2019, it took only a few months for this local crisis to turn into a global pandemic with unprecedented disruptions of everyday life. However, at any moment in time the situation in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-16 Thomas Kreuz

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

COVID-19 has deeply affected daily life and travel behaviors. Understanding these changes is crucial, prompting an investigation into socio-demographic and socio-economic factors. This study used large-scale mobile device location data in…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-26 Saeed Saleh Namadi , Behnam Tahmasbi , Asal Mehditabrizi , Aref Darzi , Deb Niemeier

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama

What predicts a neighborhood's resilience and adaptability to essential public health policies and shelter-in-place regulations that prevent the harmful spread of COVID-19? To answer this question, in this paper we present a novel…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-17 Hasan Alp Boz , Mohsen Bahrami , Selim Balcisoy , Burcin Bozkaya , Nina Mazar , Aaron Nichols , Alex Pentland

Understanding how efforts to limit exposure to COVID-19 have altered electricity demand provides insights not only into how dramatic restrictions shape electricity demand but also about future electricity use in a post-COVID-19 world. We…

The COVID-19 outbreak forced governments worldwide to impose lockdowns and quarantines to prevent virus transmission. As a consequence, there are disruptions in human and economic activities all over the globe. The recovery process is also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Rodrigo Minetto , Mauricio Pamplona Segundo , Gilbert Rotich , Sudeep Sarkar

We propose an epidemiological model that includes the mobility patterns of the individuals, in the spirit to those considered in (Barmak, 2011, 2016) and (Medus, 2011). We assume that people move around in a city of 120x120 blocks with 300…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Fernando E. Cornes , Guillermo A. Frank , Claudio O. Dorso

While large scale mobility data has become a popular tool to monitor the mobility patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, the impacts of non-compulsory measures in Tokyo, Japan on human mobility patterns has been under-studied. Here, we…

The emergence of the novel Coronavirus Disease in late 2019 (COVID-19) and subsequent pandemic led to an immense disruption in the daily lives of almost everyone on the planet. Faced with the consequences of inaction, most national…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Grant McKenzie , Benjamin Adams