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In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities. First, we use it to find non-asymptotic total variation bounds between the measures induced by uniformly jittered multinomials and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

The aim of this note is to announce some results about the probabilistic and deterministic asymptotic properties of linear groups. The first one is the analogue, for norms of random matrix products, of the classical theorem of Cramer on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cagri Sert

The goal of this paper is to go further in the analysis of the behavior of the number of descents in a random permutation. Via two different approaches relying on a suitable martingale decomposition or on the Irwin-Hall distribution, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Adrien Richou

We consider supercritical bond percolation in $\mathbb{Z}^d$ for $d \geq 3$. The origin lies in a finite open cluster with positive probability, and, when it does, the diameter of this cluster has an exponentially decaying tail. For each…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Alexander Fribergh , Alan Hammond

Starting with the large deviation principle (LDP) for the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi binomial random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$ (edge indicators are i.i.d.), due to Chatterjee and Varadhan (2011), we derive the LDP for the uniform random graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Amir Dembo , Eyal Lubetzky

In the standard formulation of the occupancy problem one considers the distribution of r balls in n cells, with each ball assigned independently to a given cell with probability 1/n. Although closed form expressions can be given for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Carl Nuzman , Phil Whiting

Exact formulas are derived for the probability density functions of the sum and difference of two independent non-central gamma distributed random variables, with both series and integral representations of the density presented. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Robert E. Gaunt , Heather L. Sutcliffe

Chatteerjee and Diaconis have recently shown the asymptotic normality for the joint distribution of the number of descents and inverse descents in a random permutation. A noteworthy point of their results is that the asymptotic variance of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Luis Fredes , Bernard Bercu , Michel Bonnefont , Adrien Richou

We establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for probability graphons, which are symmetric functions from the unit square into the space of probability measures. This notion extends classical graphons and provides a flexible framework for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Pierfrancesco Dionigi , Giulio Zucal

Let $p, q \in (0, \infty]$ and $\ell_p^m(\ell_q^n)$ be the mixed-norm sequence space of real matrices $x = (x_{i, j})_{i \leq m, j \leq n}$ endowed with the (quasi-)norm $\Vert x \Vert_{p, q} := \big\Vert \big( \Vert (x_{i, j})_{j \leq n}…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Michael Juhos , Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno

We study the Small Ball Probabilities (SBPs) of Gaussian rough paths. While many works on rough paths study the Large Deviations Principles (LDPs) for stochastic processes driven by Gaussian rough paths, it is a noticeable gap in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 William Salkeld

We present a complete framework for determining the asymptotic (or logarithmic) efficiency of estimators of large deviation probabilities and rate functions based on importance sampling. The framework relies on the idea that importance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 Arnaud Guyader , Hugo Touchette

The purpose of this note is to show how simple Optimal Transport arguments, on the real line, can be used in Superconcentration theory. This methodology is efficient to produce sharp non-asymptotic variance bounds for various functionals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Kevin Tanguy

We obtain error rates for large deviations of sums of i.i.d. random variables in, a particular case, of the domain of a non-symmetric infinite mean $\alpha=1$-stable law. The focus of this work is on the method of proof via analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Jonny Imbierski , Dalia Terhesiu

This paper considers a new bootstrap procedure to estimate the distribution of high-dimensional $\ell_p$-statistics, i.e. the $\ell_p$-norms of the sum of $n$ independent $d$-dimensional random vectors with $d \gg n$ and $p \in [1,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-18 Alexander Giessing , Jianqing Fan

We consider a dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph (ERRG) on $n$ vertices in which each edge switches on at rate $\lambda$ and switches off at rate $\mu$, independently of other edges. The focus is on the analysis of the evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

This note contains two types of small ball estimates for random vectors in finite dimensional spaces equipped with a quasi-norm. In the first part, we obtain bounds for the small ball probability of random vectors under some smoothness…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Omer Friedland , Ohad Giladi , Olivier Guédon

For an ergodic Brownian diffusion with invariant measure $\nu$, we consider a sequence of empirical distributions ($\nu$n) n$\ge$1 associated with an approximation scheme with decreasing time step ($\gamma$n) n$\ge$1 along an adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 I Honoré

We establish sharp deviation inequalities for the linear statistics of the 2D Coulomb gas. These imply sub-Gaussian inequalities, where the variance is given by the Dirichlet norm. The proofs use complex geometry and potential theory on…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-21 Robert J. Berman

In this paper we investigate the probability distribution of the sum $Y$ of $\ell$ independent identically distributed random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_p$. Our main focus is the regime of small values of $\ell$, which is less…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Simone Costa