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The exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) have emerged as an important framework for modeling social networks for a wide variety of relational types. ERGMs for valued networks are less well-developed than their unvalued…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Peng Huang , Carter T. Butts

Sampling from Diffusion Models can alternatively be seen as solving differential equations, where there is a challenge in balancing speed and image visual quality. ODE-based samplers offer rapid sampling time but reach a performance limit,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Qinpeng Cui , Xinyi Zhang , Qiqi Bao , Qingmin Liao

We introduce the data driven extreme value distribution (DDEVD) estimator, a kernel-based method for estimating extreme value distributions from data. We derive its mean integrated squared error (MISE) in detail, use it to compute the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Michael Sandbichler , Tobias Hell

We introduce Evolutionary Ensemble (EvE), a decentralized framework that organizes existing, highly capable coding agents into a live, co-evolving system for algorithmic discovery. Rather than reinventing the wheel within the "LLMs as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Zongmin Yu , Liu Yang

Estimating conditional average treatment effect from observational data is highly challenging due to the existence of treatment selection bias. Prevalent methods mitigate this issue by aligning distributions of different treatment groups in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Hao Wang , Zhichao Chen , Jiajun Fan , Haoxuan Li , Tianqiao Liu , Weiming Liu , Quanyu Dai , Yichao Wang , Zhenhua Dong , Ruiming Tang

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a longstanding and well-studied approach for dimension reduction. It rests upon the assumption that the underlying signal in the data has low rank, and thus can be well-summarized using a small number…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-14 Ronan Perry , Snigdha Panigrahi , Jacob Bien , Daniela Witten

There are a number of ways to test for the absence/presence of a spatial signal in a completely observed fine-resolution image. One of these is a powerful nonparametric procedure called Enhanced False Discovery Rate (EFDR). A drawback of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-20 Hsin-Cheng Huang , Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Guowen Huang

Variational Autoencoders (VAE) are widely used for dimensionality reduction of large-scale tabular and image datasets, under the assumption of independence between data observations. In practice, however, datasets are often correlated, with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Giora Simchoni , Saharon Rosset

Extreme value theory (EVT) provides an elegant mathematical tool for the statistical analysis of rare events. When data are collected from multiple population subgroups, because some subgroups may have less data available for extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

We study subsampling-based ridge ensembles in the proportional asymptotics regime, where the feature size grows proportionally with the sample size such that their ratio converges to a constant. By analyzing the squared prediction risk of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Studying unified model averaging estimation for situations with complicated data structures, we propose a novel model averaging method based on cross-validation (MACV). MACV unifies a large class of new and existing model averaging…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang , Hua Liang

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

A new modification of the minimum-contrast estimator (the weighted MCE) of drift parameter in a linear stochastic evolution equation with additive fractional noise is introduced in the setting of the spectral approach (Fourier coordinates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Pavel Kriz

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

Considering the case where the response variable is a categorical variable and the predictor is a random function, two novel functional sufficient dimensional reduction (FSDR) methods are proposed based on mutual information and square loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Xinyu Li , Jianjun Xu , Wenquan Cui , Haoyang Cheng

Many real-world Electronic Health Record (EHR) data contains a large proportion of missing values. Leaving substantial portion of missing information unaddressed usually causes significant bias, which leads to invalid conclusion to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Lucas J. Liu , Hongwei Zhang , Jianzhong Di , Jin Chen

Exploring the trustworthiness of deep learning models is crucial, especially in critical domains such as medical imaging decision support systems. Conformal prediction has emerged as a rigorous means of providing deep learning models with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Mehran Zoravar , Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

Support vector machine (SVM) is a well-known statistical technique for classification problems in machine learning and other fields. An important question for SVM is the selection of covariates (or features) for the model. Many studies have…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Jiahui Zou , Chaoxia Yuan , Xinyu Zhang , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

We explore two primary classes of approaches to dimensionality reduction (DR): Independent Dimensionality Reduction (IDR) and Simultaneous Dimensionality Reduction (SDR). In IDR methods, of which Principal Components Analysis is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Eslam Abdelaleem , Ahmed Roman , K. Michael Martini , Ilya Nemenman

Traditional regression models assume stationary relationships between predictors and responses, failing to capture the spatial heterogeneity present in many environmental, epidemiological, and ecological processes. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Justice Akuoko-Frimpong , Edward Shao , Jonathan Ta