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Does the ability to pledge an asset as collateral, after purchase, affect its price? This paper identifies the impact of collateral service flows on house prices, exploiting a plausibly exogenous constitutional amendment in Texas which…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-08 Albert Alex Zevelev

In this paper, we investigate the impact of mortgage rates on home prices, and how the impact may be used to help property purchase discussions at individual buyer level and to adjust home price indices across time. A mortgage-rate-adjusted…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-08 Honggao Cao

Will the Opportunity Zones (OZ) program, America's largest new place-based policy in decades, generate neighborhood change? We compare single-family housing price growth in OZs with price growth in areas that were eligible but not included…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jiafeng Chen , Edward Glaeser , David Wessel

In recent years Australia has observed a growing, unexplained resilience of increasing house price trends. Here, we seek to understand what is driving Australia's indestructible asset using insights from market experts. We construct a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Grace Burtenshaw , Ashley Burtenshaw , Meagan Carney

This paper assesses whether the higher capital maintenance drives up banks cost of equity. We investigate the hypothesis using fixed effect panel estimation with the data from a sample of 28 publicly listed commercial banks over the 2013 to…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-07 Md Shah Naoaj , Mir Md Moyazzem Hosen

We offer evidence that federal emergency assistance (FEMA) in the days following natural disasters mitigate evictions in comparison to similar emergency scenarios where FEMA aid is not provided. We find an approximate 10.9% increase in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-26 Bilal Islah , Ahmed Zoulati

We analyze recently proposed mortgage contracts that aim to eliminate selective borrower default when the loan balance exceeds the house price (the ``underwater'' effect). We show contracts that automatically reduce the outstanding balance…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Yerkin Kitapbayev , Scott Robertson

This article examines the economic effects of an increase in the duration of home loans on households, focusing on the French real estate market. It highlights trends in the property market, existing loan systems in other countries (such as…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-24 Hugo Spring-Ragain

In this article, we develop a model for the evolution of real estate prices. A wide range of inputs, including stochastic interest rates and changing demands for the asset, are considered. Maximizing their expected utility, home owners make…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-13 Hazer Inaltekin , Robert Jarrow , Mehmet Saglam , Yildiray Yildirim

The study focuses on improving the ex ante prediction accuracy assessment in the case of forecasting various house price dispersion measures in the USA. It addresses a critical gap in real estate market forecasting by proposing a novel…

In this study interest centers on regional differences in the response of housing prices to monetary policy shocks in the US. We address this issue by analyzing monthly home price data for metropolitan regions using a factor-augmented…

I show that house prices can be modeled using machine learning (kNN and tree-bagging) and a small dataset composed of macro-economic factors (MEF), including an inflation metric (CPI), US treasury rates (10-yr), Gross Domestic Product…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-16 Nicolas Houlié

We present a limits-to-arbitrage model to study the impact of securitization, leverage and credit risk protection on the cyclicity of bank credit. In a stable bank credit situation, no cycles of credit expansion or contraction appear.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-01-03 Juan Ignacio Peña

This paper combines and develops the models in Lastrapes (2002) and Mankiw & Weil (1989), which enables us to analyze the effects of interest rate and population growth shocks on housing price in one integrated framework. Based on this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-04 Ling-Yun He , Xing-Chun Wen

The upsurge of real estate involves a variety of factors that have got influenced by many domains. Indeed, the unrecognized sector that would affect the economy for which regulatory proposals are being drafted to keep this in control is the…

Do home prices incorporate flood risk in the immediate aftermath of specific flood events, or is it the repeated exposure over the years that plays a more significant role? We address this question through the first systematic study of the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Anna Bellaver , Lorenzo Costantini , Ariadna Fosch , Anna Monticelli , David Scala , Marco Pangallo

While there is excitement about the potential for algorithms to optimize individual decision-making, changes in individual behavior will, almost inevitably, impact markets. Yet little is known about such effects. In this paper, I study how…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-14 Lindsey Raymond

In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-14 Lili Zhang , Jennifer Priestley , Xuelei Ni

This article identifies the factors that drove house prices in 13 advanced countries over the past 35 years. It does so based on Breiman s (2001) random forest model. Shapley values indicate that annual house price growth across countries…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Emanuel Kohlscheen

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts
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