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Related papers: The economic impact of weather and climate

200 papers

Estimating the effects of climate on economic output is crucial for formulating climate policy, but current empirical findings remain ambiguous. Using annual panel model and panel long-difference model with global subnational data from…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-26 Jinchi Dong , Richard S. J. Tol , Jinnan Wang

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz

Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

The economic impacts of climate change are highly uncertain. Two of the most important uncertainties are the sensitivity of the climate system and the so-called damage functions, which relate climate change to economic damages and benefits.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-24 Jenny Bjordal , Trude Storelvmo , Anthony A. Smith

In this paper, we analyze the long-term distributive impact of climate change through rising food prices. We use a standard incomplete markets model and account for non-linear Engel curves for food consumption. For the calibration of our…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-31 Alkis Blanz

This paper examines the impact of climate shocks on 13 European economies analysing jointly business and financial cycles, in different phases and disentangling the effects for different sector channels. A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Enrica De Cian , Malcolm Mistry , Anthony Osuntuyi

This study investigates the long-term effects of temperature variations on economic growth using a data-driven approach. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we analyze global land surface temperature data from Berkeley Earth and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-15 Eugene Kharitonov , Oksana Zakharchuk , Lin Mei

Climate (change) affects the prices of goods and services in different countries or regions differently. Simply relying on aggregate measures or summary statistics, such as the impact of average country temperature changes on HICP headline…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-09 Paulo M. M. Rodrigues , Mirjam Salish , Nazarii Salish

To assess the impact of climate change on the Canadian economy, we investigate the relationship between seasonal climate variables and economic growth across provinces and economic sectors. We also provide projections of climate change…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-08 Shiyu He , Trang Bui , Yuying Huang , Wenling Zhang , Jie Jian , Samuel W. K. Wong , Tony S. Wirjanto

In this paper, we survey recent econometric contributions to measure the relationship between economic activity and climate change. Due to the critical relevance of these effects for the well-being of future generations, there is an…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-16 Aránzazu de Juan , Pilar Poncela , Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

Agricultural research has fostered productivity growth, but the historical influence of anthropogenic climate change on that growth has not been quantified. We develop a robust econometric model of weather effects on global agricultural…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-05 Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Toby R. Ault , Carlos M. Carrillo , Robert G. Chambers , David B. Lobell

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of the climate and economy aim to analyze the impact and efficacy of policies that aim to control climate change, such as carbon taxes and subsidies. A major characteristic of IAMs is that their…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-20 Yongyang Cai

This study re-examines the impact of natural disasters on economic growth in the perspective of developed and developing countries. Based on panel data consisting of developing and developed countries over the period 1990-2019 and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-25 Sharmistha Chakrabarti , Yuanmeng Yang , Shuman Zhang , Md Shah Naoaj , Xinru Chen

Extratropical storms shape midlatitude weather and vary due to the slowly evolving climate and the rapid changes in synoptic conditions. While the influence of each factor has been studied extensively, their relative importance remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

Machine learning and statistical modeling methods were used to analyze the impact of climate change on financial wellbeing of fruit farmers in Tunisia and Chile. The analysis was based on face to face interviews with 801 farmers. Three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Fabian Obster , Heidi Bohle , Paul M. Pechan

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

This paper examines the effects of daily temperature fluctuations on subnational economic growth in Thailand. Using annual gross provincial product (GPP) per capita data from 1982 to 2022 and high-resolution reanalysis weather data, I…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-30 Sarun Kamolthip

Over the past three decades, extreme climate events have caused losses of worth USD 4.5 trillion. Using collective bargaining model, I find that the gendered labour supply response to adverse shocks is not straightforward since it depends…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Jheelum Sarkar

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

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