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This paper introduces a method of identifying a maximal set of safe strategies from data for stochastic systems with unknown dynamics using barrier certificates. The first step is learning the dynamics of the system via Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Rayan Mazouz , John Skovbekk , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Eric Frew , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian

We consider the problem of designing control laws for stochastic jump linear systems where the disturbances are drawn randomly from a finite sample space according to an unknown distribution, which is estimated from a finite sample of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Mathijs Schuurmans , Pantelis Sopasakis , Panagiotis Patrinos

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control method for linear systems affected by additive Gaussian disturbances that optimizes over disturbance feedback matrices online. Closed-loop satisfaction of probabilistic constraints…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Marcell Bartos , Alexandre Didier , Jerome Sieber , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Employing model predictive control to systems with unbounded, stochastic disturbances poses the challenge of guaranteeing safety, i.e., repeated feasibility and stability of the closed-loop system. Especially, there are no strict repeated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski

We propose and study a maximum likelihood estimator of stochastic frontier models with endogeneity in cross-section data when the composite error term may be correlated with inputs and environmental variables. Our framework is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-02 Samuele Centorrino , María Pérez-Urdiales

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

In order to develop provably safe human-in-the-loop systems, accurate and precise models of human behavior must be developed. In the case of intelligent vehicles, one can imagine the need for predicting driver behavior to develop minimally…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-03 Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Roy Dong , S. Shankar Sastry , Ruzena Bajcsy

It is crucial for robots to be aware of the presence of constraints in order to acquire safe policies. However, explicitly specifying all constraints in an environment can be a challenging task. State-of-the-art constraint inference…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Dimitris Papadimitriou , Daniel S. Brown

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

This paper proposes an algorithm to calculate the maximal probability of unsafety with respect to trajectories of a stochastic process and a hazard set. The unsafe probability estimation problem is cast as a primal-dual pair of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Jared Miller , Matteo Tacchi , Didier Henrion , Mario Sznaier

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

Constraint tightening to non-conservatively guarantee recursive feasibility and stability in Stochastic Model Predictive Control is addressed. Stability and feasibility requirements are considered separately, highlighting the difference…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-13 Matthias Lorenzen , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Frank Allgöwer

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Balancing safety and efficiency when planning in crowded scenarios with uncertain dynamics is challenging where it is imperative to accomplish the robot's mission without incurring any safety violations. Typically, chance constraints are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Khaled A. Mustafa , Oscar de Groot , Xinwei Wang , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo