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This paper studies inference in linear models with a high-dimensional parameter matrix that can be well-approximated by a ``spiked low-rank matrix.'' A spiked low-rank matrix has rank that grows slowly compared to its dimensions and nonzero…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao , Yinchu Zhu

In 1974 Kolmogorov proposed a non-probabilistic approach to statistics and model selection. Let data be finite binary strings and models be finite sets of binary strings. Consider model classes consisting of models of given maximal…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nikolai Vereshchagin , Paul Vitanyi

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Complex phenomena in engineering and the sciences are often modeled with computationally intensive feed-forward simulations for which a tractable analytic likelihood does not exist. In these cases, it is sometimes necessary to estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Niccolò Dalmasso , Ann B. Lee , Rafael Izbicki , Taylor Pospisil , Ilmun Kim , Chieh-An Lin

A crucial step in fitting a regression model to data is determining the model's structure, i.e., the subset of explanatory variables to be included. However, the uncertainty in this step is often overlooked due to a lack of satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Ryan Martin , Naomi Singer , Jonathan Williams

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

Linear models have found widespread use in statistical investigations. For every linear model there exists a matrix representation for which the ReML (Restricted Maximum Likelihood) can be constructed from the elements of the corresponding…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2013-07-31 John R. Smith , Milan Nikolic , Stephen P. Smith

This paper addresses the problem of fitting a known distribution to the innovation distribution in a class of stationary and ergodic time series models. The asymptotic null distribution of the usual Kolmogorov--Smirnov test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hira L. Koul , Shiqing Ling

This paper develops inferential methods for a very general class of ill-posed models in econometrics encompassing the nonparametric instrumental variable regression, various functional regressions, and the density deconvolution. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Andrii Babii

When comparing two distributions, it is often helpful to learn at which quantiles or values there is a statistically significant difference. This provides more information than the binary "reject" or "do not reject" decision of a global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Matt Goldman , David M. Kaplan

We propose a series-based nonparametric specification test for a regression function when data are spatially dependent, the `space' being of a general economic or social nature. Dependence can be parametric, parametric with increasing…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Abhimanyu Gupta , Xi Qu

Conformal inference is a method that provides prediction sets for machine learning models, operating independently of the underlying distributional assumptions and relying solely on the exchangeability of training and test data. Despite its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Daniela Corbetta , Livio Finos , Ludwig Geistlinger , Davide Risso

It is often of interest to assess whether a function-valued statistical parameter, such as a density function or a mean regression function, is equal to any function in a class of candidate null parameters. This can be framed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Aaron Hudson

The inferential model (IM) framework produces data-dependent, non-additive degrees of belief about the unknown parameter that are provably valid. The validity property guarantees, among other things, that inference procedures derived from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Chuanhai Liu , Ryan Martin

Parametric inference posits a statistical model that is a specified family of probability distributions. Restricted inference, e.g., restricted likelihood ratio testing, attempts to exploit the structure of a statistical submodel that is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Michael W. Trosset , Carey E. Priebe

We consider the problem of testing significance of predictors in multivariate nonparametric quantile regression. A stochastic process is proposed, which is based on a comparison of the responses with a nonparametric quantile regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-15 Stanislav Volgushev , Melanie Birke , Holger Dette , Natalie Neumeyer

In this work we define log-linear models to compare several square contingency tables under the quasi-independence or the quasi-symmetry model, and the relevant Markov bases are theoretically characterized. Through Markov bases, an exact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Cristiano Bocci , Fabio Rapallo

We introduce incongruent normal form (INF), a structural representation for self-referential semantic sentences. An INF replaces a self-referential sentence with a finite family of non-self-referential sentences that are individually…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Shalender Singh , Vishnu Priya Singh Parmar

We consider the residual empirical process in random design regression with long memory errors. We establish its limiting behaviour, showing that its rates of convergence are different from the rates of convergence for to the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-23 Pawel Lorek , Rafal Kulik

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a non-negative solution to a possibly under-determined system of linear equations with known coefficients. This hypothesis testing problem arises naturally in a number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Zheng Fang , Andres Santos , Azeem M. Shaikh , Alexander Torgovitsky