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This paper examines factors that influence prices of most common five cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dash, Litecoin, and Monero over 2010-2018 using weekly data. The study employs ARDL technique and documents several findings.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Yhlas Sovbetov

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

Since Bitcoin first appeared on the scene in 2009, cryptocurrencies have become a worldwide phenomenon as important decentralized financial assets. Their decentralized nature, however, leads to notable volatility against traditional fiat…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zeyd Boukhers , Azeddine Bouabdallah , Cong Yang , Jan Jürjens

Bitcoin has attracted attention from different market participants due to unpredictable price patterns. Sometimes, the price has exhibited big jumps. Bitcoin prices have also had extreme, unexpected crashes. We test the predictive power of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-15 Andrés García-Medina , Toan Luu Duc Huynh3

The growth potential of a crypto(currency) project can be measured by the use cases spurred by the underlying technology. However, these projects are usually distributed, with a weak feedback schemes. Hence, a metric that is widely used as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Maurantonio Caprolu , Roberto Di Pietro , Flavio Lombardi , Elia Onofri

State government operations comprise a large number of transactions for different processes that must be carried out across the state. This comprises new projects, maintenance and repairs, public employee compensation, and agricultural…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Nibula Bente Rashid , Joyeeta Saha , Raonak Islam Prova , Nowshin Tasfia , Md. Nazrul Huda Shanto , Jannatun Noor

Online reward-based crowdfunding campaigns have emerged as an innovative approach for validating demands, discovering early adopters, and seeking learning and feedback in the design processes of innovative products. However, crowdfunding…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Chaoyang Song , Jianxi Luo , Katja Hölttä-Otto , Warren Seering , Kevin Otto

Over the years, the growing availability of extensive datasets about registered patents allowed researchers to better understand technological innovation drivers. In this work, we investigate how the technological contents of patents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-06 Matteo Straccamore , Matteo Bruno , Bernardo Monechi , Vittorio Loreto

In recent literature it is claimed that BitCoin price behaves more likely to a volatile stock asset than a currency and that changes in its price are influenced by sentiment about the BitCoin system itself; in Kristoufek [10] the author…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 Alessandra Cretarola , Gianna Figà-Talamanca , Marco Patacca

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li

This paper contextualises the common queries of "why is crypto crashing?" and "why is crypto down?", the research transcends beyond the frequent market fluctuations to unravel how cryptocurrencies fundamentally work and the step-by-step…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Petar Radanliev

Financial inclusion is a longstanding concern across underdeveloped communities, particularly for women. However, there are limited data-driven measures to first quantitatively identify such concerns and second to inform policies. In this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Abdul Wadood Asim , Khansa Zafar , Muhammad Raees

Despite the growing importance of the digital sector, research on economic complexity and its implications continues to rely mostly on administrative records, e.g. data on exports, patents, and employment, that have blind spots when it…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-23 Sándor Juhász , Johannes Wachs , Jermain Kaminski , César A. Hidalgo

This paper presents a novel machine learning approach to GDP prediction that incorporates volatility as a model weight. The proposed method is specifically designed to identify and select the most relevant macroeconomic variables for…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-12 Ali Lashgari

Stablecoins, with a capitalization exceeding 200 billion USD as of January 2025, have shown significant growth, with annual transaction volumes exceeding 10 trillion dollars in 2023 and nearly doubling that figure in 2024. This exceptional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-21 Ahmed Mahrous , Maurantonio Caprolu , Roberto Di Pietro

This study investigates how media influence and educational resources shape individual engagement with cryptocurrencies. As digital assets become increasingly mainstream, social media platforms, influencers, and financial analysts play a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Fahed Quttainah

Determining policy priorities is a challenging task for any government because there may be, for example, a multiplicity of objectives to be simultaneously attained, a multidimensional policy space to be explored, inefficiencies in the…

General Economics · Economics 2019-02-04 Omar A. Guerrero , Gonzalo Castañeda , Florian Chávez-Juárez

As cryptocurrencies gain popularity and credibility, marketplaces for cryptocurrencies are growing in importance. Understanding the dynamics of these markets can help to assess how viable the cryptocurrnency ecosystem is and how design…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Peter M Krafft , Nicolás Della Penna , Alex Pentland