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Central banks are actively exploring retail central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), with the Bank of England currently in the design phase for a potential UK retail CBDC, the digital pound. In a previous paper, we defined and explored the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Lee Braine , Shreepad Shukla , Piyush Agrawal , Shrirang Khedekar , Aishwarya Nair

Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDCs) are becoming a new digital financial tool aimed at financial inclusion, increased monetary stability, and improved efficiency of payment systems, as they are issued by central banks. One of the most…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Santanu Mondal , T. Chithralekha

Financial inclusion is touted one of the principal drivers for economic growth for an economy. The study aims to explore the impact of financial inclusion on economic growth in Bangladesh. In my study, I used the number of loan accounts as…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-23 Ganapati Kumar Biswas

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Cryptocurrency refers to a type of digital asset that uses distributed ledger, or blockchain, technology to enable a secure transaction. Although the technology is widely misunderstood, many central banks are considering launching their own…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Campbell R. Harvey , Raphael C. G. Reule

We develop a machine learning based tool for accurate prediction of socio-economic indicators from daytime satellite imagery. The diverse set of indicators are often not intuitively related to observable features in satellite images, and…

Cryptocurrencies' values often respond aggressively to major policy changes, but none of the existing indices informs on the market risks associated with regulatory changes. In this paper, we quantify the risks originating from new…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-25 Xinwen Ni , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Taojun Xie

Predicting the trend of Bitcoin, a highly volatile cryptocurrency, remains a challenging task. Accurate forecasting holds immense potential for investors and market participants dealing with High Frequency Trading systems. The purpose of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Zeinab Shahsafdari , Ahmad Kalhor

Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

Digital payments traditionally rely on online communications with several intermediaries such as banks, payment networks, and payment processors in order to authorize and process payment transactions. While these communication networks are…

This paper constructs a global economic policy uncertainty index through the principal component analysis of the economic policy uncertainty indices for twenty primary economies around the world. We find that the PCA-based global economic…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-23 Peng-Fei Dai , Xiong Xiong , Wei-Xing Zhou

The cryptocurrency market is amongst the fastest-growing of all the financial markets in the world. Unlike traditional markets, such as equities, foreign exchange and commodities, cryptocurrency market is considered to have larger…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Fan Fang , Waichung Chung , Carmine Ventre , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , Fan Wu

We develop a machine-learning-based method, Principal Smooth-Dynamics Analysis (PriSDA), to identify patterns in economic development and to automate the development of new theory of economic dynamics. Traditionally, economic growth is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-11 Charles D. Brummitt , Andres Gomez-Lievano , Ricardo Hausmann , Matthew H. Bonds

What is the role of social interactions in the creation of price bubbles? Answering this question requires obtaining collective behavioural traces generated by the activity of a large number of actors. Digital currencies offer a unique…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-11 David Garcia , Claudio Juan Tessone , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Nicolas Perony

Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-24 Ramin Mousa , Meysam Afrookhteh , Hooman Khaloo , Amir Ali Bengari , Gholamreza Heidary

Many studies have shown that there are good reasons to claim very low predictability of currency nevertheless, the deviations from true randomness exist which have potential predictive and prognostic power [J.James, Quantitative finance 3…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Tomáš Tokár , Denis Horváth

Blockchain technology and decentralized finance (DeFi) are reshaping global financial systems. Despite their impact, the spatial distribution of public sentiment and its economic and geopolitical determinants are often overlooked. This…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Yuqi Chen , Yifan Li , Kyrie Zhixuan Zhou , Xiaokang Fu , Lingbo Liu , Shuming Bao , Daniel Sui , Luyao Zhang

Blockchain is a decentralized transaction and data management solution, the technological weapon-of-choice behind the success of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. As the number and variety of existing blockchain implementations continues…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Martin Garriga , Maximiliano Arias , Alan De Renzis

Predicting the impact of research institutions is an important tool for decision makers, such as resource allocation for funding bodies. Despite significant effort of adopting quantitative indicators to measure the impact of research…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Xiaomei Bai , Fuli Zhang , Jie Hou , Feng Xia , Amr Tolba , Elsayed Elashkar
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