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In this paper we introduce a new model named CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes process as the Hawkes model with exponential kernel implies a strictly decreasing behaviour of the autocorrelation function and empirically evidences reject the monotonicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Interest in continuous-time processes has increased rapidly in recent years, largely because of high-frequency data available in many applications. We develop a method for estimating the kernel function $g$ of a second-order stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

We prove a motivic stabilization result for the cohomology of the local systems on configuration spaces of varieties over $\mathbb{C}$ attached to character polynomials. Our approach interprets the stabilization as a probabilistic…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Sean Howe

We provide a closed-form estimator based on the VARMA representation for the unrestricted multivariate GARCH(1,1). We show that all parameters can be derived using basic linear algebra tools. We show that the estimator is consistent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Giacomo Sbrana , Federico Poloni

We prove a moment majorization principle for matrix-valued functions with domain $\{-1,1\}^{m}$, $m\in\mathbb{N}$. The principle is an inequality between higher-order moments of a non-commutative multilinear polynomial with different random…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Steven Heilman

Periodicity is a common feature of time series. For finite-dimensional data, periodic autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models have been extensively studied. In functional time series analysis, AR models have been extended to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Sebastian Kühnert , Juhyun Park

INAR (integer-valued autoregressive) and INGARCH (integer-valued GARCH) models are among the most commonly employed approaches for count time series modelling, but have been studied in largely distinct strands of literature. In this paper,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes Bracher , Barbora Sobolová

We compute spectra of sample auto-covariance matrices of second order stationary stochastic processes. We look at a limit in which both the matrix dimension $N$ and the sample size $M$ used to define empirical averages diverge, with their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-03 Reimer Kuehn , Peter Sollich

This work is an effort in order to compose a pedestrian review of the recently elaborated Doplicher, Fredenhagen, Roberts and Amorim (DFRA) noncommutative (NC) space which is a minimal extension of the DFR space. In this DRFA space, the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-20 Everton M. C. Abreu , Albert C. R. Mendes , Wilson Oliveira , Adriano O. Zangirolami

We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $\beta$-mixing time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingxiang Yang , Adams Wei Yu , Zhaoran Wang , Tuo Zhao

We give the cumulative distribution function of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from an ARMA(1, 1) process. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case, where the underlying random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-30 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

We study factorizations of rational matrix functions with simple poles on the Riemann sphere. For the quadratic case (two poles) we show, using multiplicative representations of such matrix functions, that a good coordinate system on this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-02-14 Anton Dzhamay

A new portmanteau diagnostic test for vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that is based on the determinant of the standardized multivariate residual autocorrelations is derived. The new test statistic may be considered an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Esam Mahdi , A. Ian McLeod

This paper deals with the dynamic factor analysis problem for an ARMA process. To robustly estimate the number of factors, we construct a confidence region centered in a finite sample estimate of the underlying model which contains the true…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Lucia Falconi , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We discuss the possibility to represent smooth nonnegative matrix-valued functions as finite linear combinations of fixed matrices with positive real-valued coefficients whose square roots are Lipschitz continuous. This issue is reduced to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-04 N. V. Krylov

We introduce the class of continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) processes in Hilbert spaces. As driving noises of these processes we consider Levy processes in Hilbert space. We provide the basic definitions, show relevant…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-18 Fred Espen Benth , Andre Suess

We introduce and study a family of random processes with a discrete time related to products of random matrices. Such processes are formed by singular values of random matrix products, and the number of factors in a random matrix product…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-11-06 Eugene Strahov

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

We present a new technique to obtain polynomial decay estimates for the matrix coefficients of unitary operators. Our approach, based on commutator methods, applies to nets of unitary operators, unitary representations of topological…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-09-02 S. Richard , R. Tiedra de Aldecoa