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In the past four decades, research on count time series has made significant progress, but research on $\mathbb{Z}$-valued time series is relatively rare. Existing $\mathbb{Z}$-valued models are mainly of autoregressive structure, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Christian H. Weiß , Fukang Zhu

We construct rational all-pass matrix functions with real-valued coefficients for mirroring pairs of complex-conjugated determinantal roots of a rational matrix. This problem appears, for example, when proving the spectral factorization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Wolfgang Scherrer , Bernd Funovits

For the large family of ARMA models with variable coefficients (TV-ARMA), either deterministic or stochastic, we provide an explicit and computationally tractable representation based on the general solution of the associated linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-13 M. Karanasos , A. Paraskevopoulos , T. Magdalinos , A. Canepa

Subspace methods like canonical variate analysis (CVA) are regression based methods for the estimation of linear dynamic state space models. They have been shown to deliver accurate (consistent and asymptotically equivalent to quasi maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Dietmar Bauer

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

A dynamic factor model with factor series following a VAR$(p)$ model is shown to have a VARMA$(p,p)$ model representation. Reduced-rank structures are identified for the VAR and VMA components of the resulting VARMA model. It is also shown…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Shankar Bhamidi , Dhruv Patel , Vladas Pipiras

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Robert L Wolpert

We construct a new process using a fractional Brownian motion and a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the Second Kind as building blocks. We consider the increments of the new process in discrete time and, as a result, we obtain a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-11 José Igor Morlanes

A transformation relation between multivariate ARMA and CARMA processes is derived through a discretization procedure. This gives a direct relationship between the discrete time and continuous time analogues, serving as the basis for an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Mari Dahl Eggen

We propose a novel and efficient iterative two-stage variable selection approach for multivariate sparse GLARMA models, which can be used for modelling multivariate discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-01 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet , C. Bailly , L. Rajjou

We prove that a time series satisfying a (linear) multivariate autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model satisfies the same model assumption in the reversed time direction, too, if all innovations are normally distributed. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jonas Peters

We revisit the construction of the fermionic path-integral representation of overdamped scalar Langevin processes with multiplicative white noise, focusing on the covariance of the generating functional under non-linear changes of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-20 Daniel G. Barci , Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Zochil González Arenas

We prove a representation of the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) of a stationary process, or of the Verblunsky coefficients of its normalized spectral measure, in terms of the Fourier coefficients of the phase function. It is not of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 N. H. Bingham , Akihiko Inoue , Yukio Kasahara

Slow feature analysis (SFA), as a method for learning slowly varying features in classification and signal analysis, has attracted increasing attention in recent years. Recent probabilistic extensions to SFA learn effective representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Vishal Rishi

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet , Thomas Blein

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 M. Gomtsyan , C. Lévy-Leduc , S. Ouadah , L. Sansonnet

We consider high-frequency sampled continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models driven by finite-variance zero-mean L\'evy processes. An L^2-consistent estimator for the increments of the driving L\'evy process without order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Florian Fuchs

In this paper, we focus on isotropic and stationary sphere-cross-time random fields. We first introduce the class of spherical functional autoregressive-moving average processes (SPHARMA), which extend in a natural way the spherical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Alessia Caponera

Probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) seeks a low dimensional representation of a data set in the presence of independent spherical Gaussian noise, Sigma = (sigma^2)*I. The maximum likelihood solution for the model is an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-23 Alfredo A. Kalaitzis , Neil D. Lawrence

In the study of complex physical and biological systems represented by multivariate stochastic processes, an issue of great relevance is the description of the system dynamics spanning multiple temporal scales. While methods to assess the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Luca Faes , Giandomenico Nollo , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Daniele Marinazzo