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Disease progression models are instrumental in predicting individual-level health trajectories and understanding disease dynamics. Existing models are capable of providing either accurate predictions of patients prognoses or clinically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Modeling disease progression through multiple stages is critical for clinical decision-making for chronic diseases, e.g., cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney diseases, and so on. Existing approaches often model the disease progression as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Haoyu Yang , Sanjoy Dey , Pablo Meyer

Clinical forecasting based on electronic medical records (EMR) can uncover the temporal correlations between patients' conditions and outcomes from sequences of longitudinal clinical measurements. In this work, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Yuan Xue , Denny Zhou , Nan Du , Andrew Dai , Zhen Xu , Kun Zhang , Claire Cui

Capturing the inter-dependencies among multiple types of clinically-critical events is critical not only to accurate future event prediction, but also to better treatment planning. In this work, we propose a deep latent state-space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Yuan Xue , Denny Zhou , Nan Du , Andrew M. Dai , Zhen Xu , Kun Zhang , Claire Cui

In this paper, we propose a deep generative time series approach using latent temporal processes for modeling and holistically analyzing complex disease trajectories. We aim to find meaningful temporal latent representations of an…

Understanding and predicting the progression of neurodegenerative diseases remains a major challenge in medical AI, with significant implications for early diagnosis, disease monitoring, and treatment planning. However, most available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Nivetha Jayakumar , Swakshar Deb , Bahram Jafrasteh , Qingyu Zhao , Miaomiao Zhang

The longitudinal analysis of patient response time course following doses of therapeutics is currently performed using Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) methodologies, which requires significant human experience and expertise in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 James Lu , Brendan Bender , Jin Y. Jin , Yuanfang Guan

Many diseases, including cancer and chronic conditions, require extended treatment periods and long-term strategies. Machine learning and AI research focusing on electronic health records (EHRs) have emerged to address this need. Effective…

The ability to estimate how a tumor might evolve in the future could have tremendous clinical benefits, from improved treatment decisions to better dose distribution in radiation therapy. Recent work has approached the glioma growth…

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Quantification of anatomical shape changes currently relies on scalar global indexes which are largely insensitive to regional or asymmetric modifications. Accurate assessment of pathology-driven anatomical remodeling is a crucial step for…

Cancer evolves continuously over time through a complex interplay of genetic, epigenetic, microenvironmental, and phenotypic changes. This dynamic behavior drives uncontrolled cell growth, metastasis, immune evasion, and therapy resistance,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Luoting Zhuang , Stephen H. Park , Steven J. Skates , Ashley E. Prosper , Denise R. Aberle , William Hsu

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Neuroimaging data, particularly from techniques like MRI or PET, offer rich but complex information about brain structure and activity. To manage this complexity, latent representation models - such as Autoencoders, Generative Adversarial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-31 C. Vázquez-García , F. J. Martínez-Murcia , F. Segovia Román , Juan M. Górriz

Mathematical oncology provides unique and invaluable insights into tumour growth on both the microscopic and macroscopic levels. This review presents state-of-the-art modelling techniques and focuses on their role in understanding…

Application of deep learning in digital pathology shows promise on improving disease diagnosis and understanding. We present a deep generative model that learns to simulate high-fidelity cancer tissue images while mapping the real images…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-15 Adalberto Claudio Quiros , Roderick Murray-Smith , Ke Yuan

While tumor dynamic modeling has been widely applied to support the development of oncology drugs, there remains a need to increase predictivity, enable personalized therapy, and improve decision-making. We propose the use of Tumor Dynamic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Mark Laurie , James Lu

Electronic health records contain valuable information for monitoring patients' health trajectories over time. Disease progression models have been developed to understand the underlying patterns and dynamics of diseases using these data as…

Machine learning in drug discovery has been focused on virtual screening of molecular libraries using discriminative models. Generative models are an entirely different approach that learn to represent and optimize molecules in a continuous…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-17 Matthew Ragoza , Tomohide Masuda , David Ryan Koes
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