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Bayesian inference involves two main computational challenges. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the posterior distribution may well be highly multi-modal: a regime in which the convergence to stationarity of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-10 F. Feroz , M. P. Hobson , E. Cameron , A. N. Pettitt

In a previous paper (gr-qc/0105100) we derived a set of near-optimal signal detection techniques for gravitational wave detectors whose noise probability distributions contain non-Gaussian tails. The methods modify standard methods by…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Bruce Allen , Jolien D. E. Creighton , Eanna E. Flanagan , Joseph D. Romano

Normalizing flows are powerful non-parametric statistical models that function as a hybrid between density estimators and generative models. Current learning algorithms for normalizing flows assume that data points are sampled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Matthias Kirchler , Christoph Lippert , Marius Kloft

Through examples of coordinate and probability transformation between different distributions, the basic principle of normalizing flow is introduced in a simple and concise manner. From the perspective of the distribution of random variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Hongjun Zhang

Gravitational-wave parameter estimation for binary neutron star (BNS) systems poses severe computational challenges due to the extended signal duration, which can reach several minutes in current detectors. Neural posterior estimation…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-27 Masaki Iwaya , Vivien Raymond , Soichiro Morisaki , Kazuki Takada

In this paper, we suggest a novel sampling method for Monte Carlo molecular simulations. In order to perform efficient sampling of molecular systems, it is advantageous to avoid extremely high energy configurations while also retaining the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-18 Katsuhiro Endo , Daisuke Yuhara , Kenji Yasuoka

Nested sampling provides an estimate of the evidence of a Bayesian inference problem via probing the likelihood as a function of the enclosed prior volume. However, the lack of precise values of the enclosed prior mass of the samples…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Recently developed particle flow algorithms provide an alternative to importance sampling for drawing particles from a posterior distribution, and a number of particle filters based on this principle have been proposed. Samples are drawn…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-01 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a formalism to quantify and calibrate uncertainty in deep learning. Current inference approaches for BNNs often resort to few-sample estimation for scalability, which can harm predictive performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Zhe Zeng , Guy Van den Broeck

Nested sampling is a promising method for calculating phase diagrams of materials, however, the computational cost limits its applicability if ab-initio accuracy is required. In the present work, we report on the efficient use of a…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-08-23 N. Unglert , J. Carrete , L. B. Pártay , G. K. H. Madsen

Diffusion-based models decompose sampling into many small Gaussian denoising steps -- an assumption that breaks down when generation is compressed to a few coarse transitions. Existing few-step methods address this through distillation,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jiatao Gu , Tianrong Chen , Ying Shen , David Berthelot , Shuangfei Zhai , Josh Susskind

The detection of gravitational waves by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration has ushered in a new era of observational astronomy, emphasizing the need for rapid and detailed parameter estimation and population-level analyses. Traditional…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-22 Bo Liang , He Wang

We introduce dynamic nested sampling: a generalisation of the nested sampling algorithm in which the number of "live points" varies to allocate samples more efficiently. In empirical tests the new method significantly improves calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edward Higson , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

Nested sampling parameter estimation differs from evidence estimation, in that it incurs an additional source of uncertainty. This uncertainty affects estimates of parameter means and credible intervals in gravitational wave analyses and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-05 Metha Prathaban , Will Handley

We present Nested Sampling with Slice-within-Gibbs (NS-SwiG), an algorithm for Bayesian inference and evidence estimation in high-dimensional models whose likelihood admits a factorization, such as hierarchical Bayesian models. We construct…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-20 David Yallup

We propose parameterizing the population distribution of the gravitational wave population modeling framework (Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis) with a normalizing flow. We first demonstrate the merit of this method on illustrative…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-02 David Ruhe , Kaze Wong , Miles Cranmer , Patrick Forré

Normalizing Flows are generative models which produce tractable distributions where both sampling and density evaluation can be efficient and exact. The goal of this survey article is to give a coherent and comprehensive review of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Ivan Kobyzev , Simon J. D. Prince , Marcus A. Brubaker

Simulation-free methods for training continuous-time generative models construct probability paths that go between noise distributions and individual data samples. Recent works, such as Flow Matching, derived paths that are optimal for each…

Bayesian model selection provides the cosmologist with an exacting tool to distinguish between competing models based purely on the data, via the Bayesian evidence. Previous methods to calculate this quantity either lacked general…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. R. Shaw , M. Bridges , M. P. Hobson

Computing the marginal likelihood (also called the Bayesian model evidence) is an important task in Bayesian model selection, providing a principled quantitative way to compare models. The learned harmonic mean estimator solves the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-22 Alicja Polanska , Matthew A. Price , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Jason D. McEwen
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