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The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

Contacts between people are the absolute drivers of contagious respiratory infections. For this reason, limiting and tracking contacts is a key strategy for the control of the COVID-19 epidemic. Digital contact tracing has been proposed as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Chiara Boldrini , Andrea Passarella , Marco Conti

A coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) model with quarantine and standard incidence rate is first developed, then a novel analysis approach for finding the ultimate lower bound of COVID-19 infectious individuals is proposed, which means that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-01 Songbai Guo , Yuling Xue , Xiliang Li , Zuohuan Zheng

In this paper we introduce an agent-based model together with a particle filter approach for studying the spread of COVID-19. Investigations are performed on the metropolis of Tokyo, but other cities, regions or countries could have been…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-02 C. Sun , S. Richard , T. Miyoshi

Since two people came down a county of north Seattle with positive COVID-19 (coronavirus-19) in 2019, the current total cases in the United States (U.S.) are over 12 million. Predicting the pandemic trend under effective variables is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-10 Qinan Wang , Yaomu Zhou , Xiaofei Chen

The current outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses an unprecedented global health and economic threat to interconnected human societies. Until a vaccine is developed, strategies for controlling the outbreak rely on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-24 Andrew J. Stier , Marc G. Berman , Luis M. A. Bettencourt

The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020. Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0, was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. Here we provide a new estimate of this quantity.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-11 Steven Sanche , Yen Ting Lin , Chonggang Xu , Ethan Romero-Severson , Nicolas W. Hengartner , Ruian Ke

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

We propose two stochastic models for the Coronavirus pandemic. The statistical properties of the models, in particular the correlation functions and the probability density function, have duly been computed. Our models, which generalises a…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-12-04 Giorgio Sonnino , Fernando Mora , Pasquale Nardone

Violence against women occurs predominantly in the family and domestic context. The COVID-19 pandemic led Brazil to recommend and, at times, impose social distancing, with the partial closure of economic activities, schools, and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Lígia Mori Madeira , Bernardo Alves Furtado , Alan Rafael Dill

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

We employ an agent-based contact network model to study the relationship between vaccine uptake and disease dynamics in a hypothetical country town from New South Wales, Australia, undergoing a COVID-19 epidemic, over a period of three…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Shing Hin , Yeung , Mahendra Piraveenan

We model the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in China. We use early reported case data to predict the cumulative number of reported cases to a final size. The key features of our model are the timing of implementation of major public policies…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-28 Zhihua Liu , Pierre Magal , Ousmane Seydi , Glenn Webb

How does the threat of infectious disease influence sociality among generative agents? We used generative agent-based modeling (GABM), powered by large language models, to experimentally test hypotheses about the behavioral immune system.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-24 Soyeon Choi , Kangwook Lee , Oliver Sng , Joshua M. Ackerman

A model based on a thermodynamic approach is proposed for predicting the dynamics of communicable epidemics in a city, when the epidemic is governed by controlling efforts of multiple scales so that an entropy is associated with the system.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2013-10-01 W. B. Wang , Z. N. Wu , Z. M. Cao , R. F. Hu

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), with a starting point in China, has spread rapidly among people living in other countries, and is approaching approximately 34,986,502 cases worldwide according to the statistics of European…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-03 Ali Narin , Ceren Kaya , Ziynet Pamuk

Taking the context of simulating a retail environment using agent based modelling, a theoretical model is presented that describes the probability distribution of customer "collisions" using a novel space transformation to the Torus…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Serge Plata , Sumanas Sarma , Melvin Lancelot , Kristine Bagrova , David Romano-Critchley

Coronavirus disease 2019 (CoViD-19) is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Among many symptoms, cough, fever and tiredness are the most common. People over 60 years old and with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-25 João P. S. Maurício de Carvalho , Beatriz Moreira-Pinto

COVID-19 has created a pandemic around the world, paused the path of building the future, and still ongoing without having any long-term solution shortly. The time taken in vaccine distribution is too slow compared to the spread of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Suraj Mahawar , Ajay Pratap