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Residential colleges and universities face unique challenges in providing in-person instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Administrators are currently faced with decisions about whether to open during the pandemic and what modifications…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-22 Philip T. Gressman , Jennifer R. Peck

During the Coronavirus 2019 (the covid-19) pandemic, schools continuously strive to provide consistent education to their students. Teachers and education policymakers are seeking ways to re-open schools, as it is necessary for community…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Satoshi Takahashi , Masaki Kitazawa , Atsushi Yoshikawa

An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of July 22, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 15 million confirmed infections and above 6 hundred thousand reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Joydev Chattopadhyay

Mathematical and simulation models are often used to predict the spread of a disease and estimate the impact of public health interventions, and many such models have been developed and used during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-18 Jeffrey W. Herrmann , Hongjie Liu , Donald K. Milton

As of July, 2020, acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus COVID-19 is spreading over the world and causing severe economic damages. While minimizing human contact is effective in managing the outbreak, it causes severe economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Takeshi Kano , Kotaro Yasui , Taishi Mikami , Munehiro Asally , Akio Ishiguro

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

Since the outbreak of COVID-19 in early March 2020, UK supermarkets have implemented different policies to reduce the virus transmission in stores to protect both customers and staff, such as restricting the maximum number of customers in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Fabian Ying , Neave O'Clery

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is changing and impacting lives on a global scale. In this paper, we introduce a mean-field game model in controlling the propagation of epidemics on a spatial domain. The control variable,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Wonjun Lee , Siting Liu , Hamidou Tembine , Wuchen Li , Stanley Osher

This paper uses Covasim, an agent-based model (ABM) of COVID-19, to evaluate and scenarios of epidemic spread in New York State (USA), the UK, and the Novosibirsk region (Russia). Epidemiological parameters such as contagiousness (virus…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Olga Krivorotko , Mariia Sosnovskaia , Ivan Vashchenko , Cliff Kerr , Daniel Lesnic

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for mathematical models that can project epidemic trends and evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. To forecast the transmission of COVID-19, a major challenge is the accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-21 Kejie Chen , Yanqing Li , Rongxin Zhou , Xiaomo Jiang

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected travel behaviors and transportation system operations, and cities are grappling with what policies can be effective for a phased reopening shaped by social distancing. This edition of the white paper…

In this research, we study the propagation patterns of epidemic diseases such as the COVID-19 coronavirus, from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on an extensions of the well-known susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Reza Sameni

Developing the ability to comprehensively study infections in small populations enables us to improve epidemic models and better advise individuals about potential risks to their health. We currently have a limited understanding of how…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-14 Wen Dong , Katherine A. Heller , Alex Sandy Pentland

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is one of the most infectious diseases and one of the greatest challenge due to global health crisis. The virus has been transmitted globally and spreading so fast with high incidence. While, the virus…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Marvin G. Pizon , Ronald R. Baldo , Ruthlyn N. Villarante , Jessica D. Balatero

In this paper, we present a new approach for Covid-19 Pandemic spreading simulation based on fuzzy multi agents. The agent parameters consider distribution of the population according to age, and the index of socio-economic fragility.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Didier El Baz , Andrei Doncescu

The novel COVID-19 pandemic is a current, major global health threat. Up till now, there is no fully approved pharmacological treatment or a vaccine. In this study, simple mathematical models were employed to examine the dynamics of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-25 Ahmed S. Elgazzar

Touristic cities will suffer from COVID-19 emergency because of its economic impact on their communities. The first emergency phases involved a wide closure of such areas to support "social distancing" measures (i.e. travels limitation;…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-14 Marco D'Orazio , Gabriele Bernardini , Enrico Quagliarini

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

The outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic affecting over 200 countries and regions. Inference about the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 can provide important insights into the speed of disease spread and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji