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We introduce a new measure for fair and meaningful comparisons of single-valued output from artificial intelligence based weather prediction (AIWP) and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, called potential continuous ranked…

We study a budgeted hyper-parameter tuning problem, where we optimize the tuning result under a hard resource constraint. We propose to solve it as a sequential decision making problem, such that we can use the partial training progress of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Zhiyun Lu , Chao-Kai Chiang , Fei Sha

Estimating percentiles of black-box deterministic functions with random inputs is a challenging task when the number of function evaluations is severely restricted, which is typical for computer experiments. This article proposes two new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-23 T Labopin-Richard , V Picheny

Inverse optimization (IO) is used to estimate unknown parameters of an optimization model from observed decisions. In the data-driven context, the estimated parameters are inherently uncertain, yet quantifying this uncertainty has received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Nathan Sandholtz , Nasrin Yousefi

The design and construction of high performance computing (HPC) systems relies on exhaustive performance analysis and benchmarking. Traditionally this activity has been geared exclusively towards simulation scientists, who, unsurprisingly,…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Drew Schmidt , Junqi Yin , Michael Matheson , Bronson Messer , Mallikarjun Shankar

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Bayesian methods are critical for quantifying the behaviors of systems. They capture our uncertainty about a system's behavior using probability distributions and update this understanding as new information becomes available. Probabilistic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-25 Thomas A. Catanach , James L. Beck

The post-Moore era casts a shadow of uncertainty on many aspects of computer system design. Managing that uncertainty requires new algorithmic tools to make quantitative assessments. While prior uncertainty quantification methods, such as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Zichang He , Weilong Cui , Chunfeng Cui , Timothy Sherwood , Zheng Zhang

In response to the demand for higher computational power, the number of computing nodes in high performance computers (HPC) increases rapidly. Exascale HPC systems are expected to arrive by 2020. With drastic increase in the number of HPC…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Siavash Ghiasvand , Florina M. Ciorba

We extend the recently introduced regularization/Bayesian System Identification procedures to the estimation of time-varying systems. Specifically, we consider an online setting, in which new data become available at given time steps. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-26 Giulia Prando , Diego Romeres , Alessandro Chiuso

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

Mixed-precision algorithms have been proposed as a way for scientific computing to benefit from some of the gains seen for artificial intelligence (AI) on recent high performance computing (HPC) platforms. A few applications dominated by…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Aditya Kashi , Nicholson Koukpaizan , Hao Lu , Michael Matheson , Sarp Oral , Feiyi Wang

LLMs often struggle with memory-constrained deployment on consumer-grade hardware due to their massive parameter sizes. While existing solutions such as model compression and offloading improve deployment feasibility, they often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Shen Xu , Xiangwen Zhuge , Zhe Xu , Yingkun Hu , Zheng Yang , Yunhao Liu

The use of high-power industrial equipment, such as large-scale mixing equipment or a hydrocyclone for separation of particles in liquid suspension, demands careful monitoring to ensure correct operation. The fundamental task of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Robert G. Aykroyd , Mark Girolami

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have found industrial applications in various fields. AI systems typically possess complex software and heterogeneous CPU/GPU hardware architecture, making it difficult to answer…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Vyacheslav Zhdanovskiy , Lev Teplyakov , Anton Grigoryev

Eulerian nonlinear uncertainty propagation methods often suffer from finite domain limitations and computational inefficiencies. A recent approach to this class of algorithm, Grid-based Bayesian Estimation Exploiting Sparsity, addresses the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-20 Benjamin L. Hanson , Carlos Rubio , Adrián García-Gutiérrez , Thomas Bewley

Ensembling is commonly used in machine learning on tabular data to boost predictive performance and robustness, but larger ensembles often lead to increased hardware demand. We introduce HAPEns, a post-hoc ensembling method that explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jannis Maier , Lennart Purucker

Energy efficiency has emerged as a central challenge for modern high-performance computing (HPC) systems, where escalating computational demands and architectural complexity have led to significant energy footprints. This paper presents the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Kajol Kulkarni , Samuel Kemmler , Anna Schwarz , Gulcin Gedik , Yanxiang Chen , Dimitrios Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kavroulakis , Roman Iakymchuk

Interest in many-core architectures applied to real time selections is growing in High Energy Physics (HEP) experiments. In this paper we describe performance measurements of many-core devices when applied to a typical HEP online task: the…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2014-11-25 A. Gianelle , S. Amerio , D. Bastieri , M. Corvo , W. Ketchum , T. Liu , A. Lonardo , D. Lucchesi , S. Poprocki , R. Rivera , L. Tosoratto , P. Vicini , P. Wittich

This paper introduces a novel parameter estimation method for the probability tables of Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs), using hierarchical Dirichlet processes (HDPs). The main result of this paper is to show that improved parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Francois Petitjean , Wray Buntine , Geoffrey I. Webb , Nayyar Zaidi