Related papers: Explicit Bivariate Rate Functions for Large Deviat…

We study large deviations for random walks on Lie groups defined by $\sigma_n^n = \exp(\frac1nX_1)\cdots\exp(\frac1nX_n)$, where $\{X_n\}_{n\geq1}$ is an i.i.d sequence of bounded random variables in the Lie algebra $\mathfrak{g}$. We…

In this paper, we prove large deviations principle for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and for the semi-recursive kernel estimator of the regression in the multidimensional case. Under suitable conditions, we show that the rate function is a…

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

A new source model, which consists of an intrinsic state part and an extrinsic observation part, is proposed and its information-theoretic characterization, namely its rate-distortion function, is defined and analyzed. Such a source model…

A pedagogical account of some aspects of Extreme Value Statistics (EVS) is presented from the somewhat non-standard viewpoint of Large Deviation Theory. We address the following problem: given a set of $N$ i.i.d. random variables…

We consider equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals driven by H\"older continuous Gaussian processes of order $H>\frac12$ with discontinuous integrands involving bounded variation functions. We give exact rate of convergence in…

We present two examples of a large deviations principle where the rate function is not strictly convex. This is motivated by a model used in mathematical finance (the Heston model), and adds a new item to the zoology of non strictly convex…

A detailed proof of a recent result on explicit formulae for the product moments $E \left \{ X_1^{a_1} X_2^{a_2} \cdots X_n^{a_n}\right \}$ of multivariate Gaussian random variables is provided in this note.

We look at joint regular variation properties of MA($\infty$) processes of the form $\mathbf{X} = (X_k, k \in \mathbb{Z})$ where $X_k = \sum_{j=0}^{\infty} \psi_j Z_{k-j}$ and the sequence of random variables $(Z_i, i \in \mathbb{Z})$ are…

We derive a refined conjecture for the variance of Gaussian primes across sectors, with a power saving error term, by applying the L-functions Ratios Conjecture. We observe a bifurcation point in the main term, consistent with the Random…

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

Differential Granger causality, that is understanding how Granger causal relations differ between two related time series, is of interest in many scientific applications. Modeling each time series by a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, we…

This paper presents new uniform Gaussian strong approximations for empirical processes indexed by classes of functions based on $d$-variate random vectors ($d\geq1$). First, a uniform Gaussian strong approximation is established for general…

Let $X^{(\delta)}$ be a Wishart process of dimension $\delta$, with values in the set of positive matrices of size $m$. We are interested in the large deviations for a family of matrix-valued processes $\{\delta^{-1} X_t^{(\delta)}, t \leq…

We provide posterior contraction rates for constrained deep Gaussian processes in non-parametric density estimation and classication. The constraints are in the form of bounds on the values and on the derivatives of the Gaussian processes…

We give a formula for the bivariate generating function of a stationary 1-dependent counting process in terms of its run probability generating function, with a probabilistic proof. The formula reduces to the well known bivariate generating…

We investigate the large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood estimators for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with shift. We estimate simultaneously the drift and shift parameters. On the one hand, we establish a large deviation…

We study the large deviation behaviour of $S_n=\sum_{j=1}^n W_jZ_j$, where $(W_j)_{j \in \mathbb N}$ and $(Z_j)_{j \in \mathbb N}$ are sequences of real-valued, independent and identically distributed random variables satisfying certain…

We show how one can obtain an asymptotic expression for some special functions satisfying a second order differential equation with a very explicit error term starting from appropriate upper bounds. We will work out the details for the…

We consider large non-Hermitian random matrices $X$ with complex, independent, identically distributed centred entries and show that the linear statistics of their eigenvalues are asymptotically Gaussian for test functions having…