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There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

Missing data are often dealt with multiple imputation. A crucial part of the multiple imputation process is selecting sensible models to generate plausible values for incomplete data. A method based on posterior predictive checking is…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-14 Mingyang Cai , Stef van Buuren , Gerko Vink

Existing mortality forecasting methods focus on age-specific mortality rates, which lie in an unconstrained space and overlook the distributional nature of life-table death counts. Few studies have developed and compared forecasting methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Han Lin Shang , Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón

Covariance matrix outcomes arise naturally in neuroimaging experiments to study brain functional connectivity. It is also of interest to understand how brain network organization varies with subject-level covariates. Existing covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Michelle Murphy Green , Xi Luo , Brian S. Caffo , Yi Zhao

This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

We introduce a statistical method for modeling and forecasting functional panel data represented by multiple densities. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained integral and thus do not constitute a linear vector space. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

Auxiliary information is frequently utilized in survey sampling to improve the efficiency of estimators of the finite population mean. However, the simultaneous use of multiple auxiliary variables often induces multicollinearity, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rajesh Singh , Shobh Nath Tiwari

BACKGROUND. The majority of countries in Africa and nearly one third of all countries require mortality models to infer complete age schedules of mortality, required for population estimates, projections/forecasts and many other tasks in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-06 Samuel J. Clark

Mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, education, religion or ethnicity. Forecasting mortality rates at the national and sub-national levels plays an important role in making social policies…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-01 Han Lin Shang

When outcomes are missing for reasons beyond an investigator's control, there are two different ways to adjust a parameter estimate for covariates that may be related both to the outcome and to missingness. One approach is to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Joseph D. Y. Kang , Joseph L. Schafer

Motivated by the pressing request of methods able to create prediction sets in a general regression framework for a multivariate functional response and pushed by new methodological advancements in non-parametric prediction for functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-04 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

This paper extends Bayesian mortality projection models for multiple populations considering the stochastic structure and the effect of spatial autocorrelation among the observations. We explain high levels of overdispersion according to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Zhen Liu , Xiaoqian Sun , Yu-Bo Wang

The analysis of multivariate functional curves has the potential to yield important scientific discoveries in domains such as healthcare, medicine, economics and social sciences. However, it is common for real-world settings to present…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Tui Nolan , Sylvia Richardson , Hélène Ruffieux

Physical activity is crucial for human health. With the increasing availability of large-scale mobile health data, strong associations have been found between physical activity and various diseases. However, accurately capturing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Xiaojing Sun , Bingxin Zhao , Fei Xue

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

Acyclic phase-type (PH) distributions have been a popular tool in survival analysis, thanks to their natural interpretation in terms of ageing towards its inevitable absorption. In this paper, we consider an extension to the bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Albrecher Hansjörg , Bladt Martin , Alaric J. A Müller

In many medical studies, patients are followed longitudinally and interest is on assessing the relationship between longitudinal measurements and time to an event. Recently, various authors have proposed joint modeling approaches for…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-16 Paul S. Albert , Joanna H. Shih

Multistate models offer a powerful framework for studying disease processes and can be used to formulate intensity-based and more descriptive marginal regression models. They also represent a natural foundation for the construction of joint…

Longitudinal and time-to-event data are often analyzed in biomarker research to study the association between the longitudinal biomarker measurements and the event-time outcome, in which the longitudinal information contributes to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Minzee Kim , Joel A. Dubin