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Chernoff bounds are a powerful application of the Markov inequality to produce strong bounds on the tails of probability distributions. They are often used to bound the tail probabilities of sums of Poisson trials, or in regression to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 D. K. L. Shiu

We observe that the technique of Markov contraction can be used to establish measure concentration for a broad class of non-contracting chains. In particular, geometric ergodicity provides a simple and versatile framework. This leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss

The filtering problem for finite state Markov chains is revisited, when the intensity of the observation noise increases. We give a description of conditional measure concentration around the invariant distribution of the signal and derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. Chigansky

A family $\{Q_{\beta}\}_{\beta \geq 0}$ of Markov chains is said to exhibit $\textit{metastable mixing}$ with $\textit{modes}$ $S_{\beta}^{(1)},\ldots,S_{\beta}^{(k)}$ if its spectral gap (or some other mixing property) is very close to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Oren Mangoubi , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

This note is concerned with weakly interacting stochastic particle systems with possibly singular pairwise interactions. In this setting, we observe a connection between entropic propagation of chaos and exponential concentration bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Joe Jackson , Antonios Zitridis

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

This paper presents an elementary proof of stochastic stability of a discrete-time reversible Markov chain starting from a Foster-Lyapunov drift condition. Besides its relative simplicity, there are two salient features of the proof: (i) it…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We prove deviation bounds for the random variable $\sum_{i=1}^{n} f_i(Y_i)$ in which $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$ is a Markov chain with stationary distribution and state space $[N]$, and $f_i: [N] \rightarrow [-a_i, a_i]$. Our bound improves…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Shravas Rao

Simple random coverage models, well studied in Euclidean space, can also be defined on a general compact metric space. By analogy with the geometric models, and with the discrete coupon collector's problem and with cover times for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 David J. Aldous

The main topic of these notes are Markov loops, studied in the context of continuous time Markov chains on discrete state spaces. We refer to [1] and [2] for the short "history" of the subject. In contrast with these references, symmetry is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Yinshan Chang , Yves Le Jan

We develop a method for producing estimates on the spectral gaps of reversible Markov jump processes with chaotic invariant measures, and we apply it to prove the Kac conjecture for hard sphere collision in three dimensions.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-01 Eric A. Carlen , Maria C. Carvalho , Michael P. Loss

Using the concept of discrete noiseless channels, it was shown by Shannon in A Mathematical Theory of Communication that the ultimate performance of an encoder for a constrained system is limited by the combinatorial capacity of the system…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-09 Georg Böcherer , Valdemar Cardoso da Rocha , Cecilio Pimentel

This pedagogical document explains three variational representations that are useful when comparing the efficiencies of reversible Markov chains: (i) the Dirichlet form and the associated variational representations of the spectral gaps;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Chris Sherlock

The goal of this paper is to describe conditions which guarantee a central limit theorem for random variables, which distributions are controled by hidden Markov chains. We proved that when a Markov chain is ergodic and random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Anna Czapkiewicz , Antoni Dawidowicz

To a unitary matrix U we associate a doubly stochastic matrix M by taking the modulus squared of each element of U. To study the connection between onset of quantum chaos on graphs and ergodicity of the underlying Markov chain, specified by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-10-19 G. Berkolaiko

Pathways of diffusion observed in real-world systems often require stochastic processes going beyond first-order Markov models, as implicitly assumed in network theory. In this work, we focus on second-order Markov models, and derive an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-03 Renaud Lambiotte , Vsevolod Salnikov , Martin Rosvall

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

We prove the Local Limit Theorems for bounded additive functionals of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov arrays. As an application we obtain the precise asymptotics in the large deviation regime for bounded additive functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Omri Sarig

It is shown how a natural representation of perpetuities as asymptotically homogeneous in space Markov chains allows to prove various asymptotic tail results for stable perpetuities and limit theorems for unstable ones. Some of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-29 Dmitry Korshunov

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan
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