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The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

We consider a generic diffusion on the 1D torus and give a simple representation formula for the large deviation rate functional of its invariant probability measure, in the limit of vanishing noise. Previously, this rate functional had…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

Consider the symmetric exclusion process evolving on an interval and weakly interacting at the end-points with reservoirs. Denote by $I_{[0,T]} (\cdot)$ its dynamical large deviations functional and by $V(\cdot)$ the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-15 A. Bouley , C. Erignoux , C. Landim

The paper contains results in three areas: First we present a general estimate for tail probabilities of Gaussian quadratic forms with known expectation and variance. Thereafter we analyze the distribution of norms of complex Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Georg Berschneider , Björn Böttcher

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

Diffusion with stochastic transport is investigated here when the random driving process is a very general Gaussian process, including Fractional Brownian motion. The purpose is the comparison with a deterministic PDE, which in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Russo

Stochastic processes wherein the size of the state space is changing as a function of time offer models for the emergence of scale-invariant features observed in complex systems. I consider such a sample-space reducing (SSR) stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Avinash Chand Yadav

We study sample-path large deviations for L\'evy processes and random walks with heavy-tailed jump-size distributions that are of Weibull type. Our main results include an extended form of an LDP (large deviations principle) in the $J_1$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Mihail Bazhba , Jose Blanchet , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

The one-dimensional SDE with non Lipschitz diffusion coefficient $dX_{t} = b(X_{t})dt + \sigma X_{t}^{\gamma} dB_{t}, \ X_{0}=x, \ \gamma<1$ is widely studied in mathematical finance. Several works have proposed asymptotic analysis of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Giovanni Conforti , Stefano De Marco , Jean-Dominique Deuschel

In this work, we establish, for a strong Feller process, the large deviation principle for the occupation measure conditioned not to exit a given subregion. The rate function vanishes only at a unique measure, which is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arnaud Guillin , Boris Nectoux , Liming Wu

This study focuses on large deviation principles for fully coupled multiscale multivalued stochastic systems, in which the slow component is governed by a multivalued stochastic differential equation and the fast component is described by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Huijie Qiao

Gaussian wavepackets are a popular tool for semiclassical analyses of classically chaotic systems. We demonstrate that they are extremely powerful in the semiquantal analysis of such systems, too, where their dynamics can be recast in an…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 Arjendu K. Pattanayak , William C. Schieve

A Gaussian operator basis provides a means to formulate phase-space simulations of the real- and imaginary-time evolution of quantum systems. Such simulations are guaranteed to be exact while the underlying distribution remains…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-04-04 M. Ogren , K. V. Kheruntsyan , J. F. Corney

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist

We develop a stochastic model for Lagrangian velocity as it is observed in experimental and numerical fully developed turbulent flows. We define it as the unique statistically stationary solution of a causal dynamics, given by a stochastic…

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

Consider a large system of $N$ Brownian motions in $\R ^d$ fixed on a time interval $[0,\beta]$ with symmetrized initial and terminal conditions, under the influence of a trap potential. Such systems describe systems of bosons at positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Stefan Adams , Spyros Garouniatis

We investigate the large population dynamics of a family of stochastic particle systems with three-state cyclic individual behaviour and parameter-dependent transition rates. On short time scales, the dynamics turns out to be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Julien Barré , Bastien Fernandez , Grégoire Panel