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The environmental Kuznets curve predicts an inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth. Current analyses frequently employ models which restrict nonlinearities in the data to be explained by the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-14 Yicong Lin , Hanno Reuvers

Covariance matrices of random vectors contain information that is crucial for modelling. Specific structures and patterns of the covariances (or correlations) may be used to justify parametric models, e.g., autoregressive models. Until now,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paavo Sattler , Dennis Dobler

A new portmanteau test statistic is proposed for detecting nonlinearity in time series data. In this paper, we elaborate on the Toeplitz autocorrelation matrix to the autocorrelation and cross-correlation of residuals and squared residuals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Esam Mahdi , Thomas J. Fisher

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

Tests based on heteroskedasticity robust standard errors are an important technique in econometric practice. Choosing the right critical value, however, is not simple at all: conventional critical values based on asymptotics often lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Benedikt M. Pötscher , David Preinerstorfer

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

It has been known since Elliott (1998) that standard methods of inference on cointegrating relationships break down entirely when autoregressive roots are near but not exactly equal to unity. We consider this problem within the framework of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-12 James A. Duffy , Jerome R. Simons

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization that enables inference on economically motivated shape constraints in finance, including positivity, monotonicity, and convexity. Many central hypotheses in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Rohan Sen

The danger of confusing long-range dependence with non-stationarity has been pointed out by many authors. Finding an answer to this difficult question is of importance to model time-series showing trend-like behavior, such as river run-off…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-08 Olaf Kouamo , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

Testing for independence between graphs is a problem that arises naturally in social network analysis and neuroscience. In this paper, we address independence testing for inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graphs on the same vertex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-19 Yukun Song , Carey E. Priebe , Minh Tang

We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for a time series regression model $Z_t=f(X_t)+W_t$, where \ensuremath\{X_t\} and \ensuremath\{Z_t\} are observed nonstationary processes and $\{W_t\}$ is an unobserved stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Hans Arnfinn Karlsen , Terje Myklebust , Dag Tjøstheim

This paper derives asymptotic theory for Breitung's (2002, Journal of Econometrics 108, 343-363) nonparameteric variance ratio unit root test when applied to regression residuals. The test requires neither the specification of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Karsten Reichold

We provide a statistical analysis of a tool in nonlinear-type time-frequency analysis, the synchrosqueezing transform (SST), for both the null and non-null cases. The intricate nonlinear interaction of different quantities in SST is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Matt Sourisseau , Hau-Tieng Wu , Zhou Zhou

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

New goodness-of-fit tests for Markovian models in time series analysis are developed which are based on the difference between a fully nonparametric estimate of the one-step transition distribution function of the observed process and that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Michael H. Neumann , Efstathios Paparoditis

We review the advancement of nonstationary time series analysis from the perspective of Cowles Commission structural equation approach. We argue that despite the rich repertoire nonstationary time series analysis provides to analyze how do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cheng Hsiao

Heteroskedasticity testing in nonparametric regression is a classic statistical problem with important practical applications, yet fundamental limits are unknown. Adopting a minimax perspective, this article considers the testing problem in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Subhodh Kotekal , Soumyabrata Kundu

The problem of testing instantaneous causality between variables with time-varying unconditional variance is investigated. It is shown that the classical tests based on the assumption of stationary processes must be avoided in our non…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-14 Quentin Giai Gianetto , Hamdi Raissi

The association between log-price increments of exchange-traded equities, as measured by their spot correlation estimated from high-frequency data, exhibits a pronounced upward-sloping and almost piecewise linear relationship at the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Zhi Liu

We propose a novel method for testing the null hypothesis of no effect of a covariate on the response in the context of functional linear concurrent regression. We establish an equivalent random effects formulation of our functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Rahul Ghosal , Arnab Maity
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