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Statistical Inference is the process of determining a probability distribution over the space of parameters of a model given a data set. As more data becomes available this probability distribution becomes updated via the application of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-04-28 David S. Berman , Jonathan J. Heckman , Marc Klinger

Intelligent agents must pursue their goals in complex environments with partial information and often limited computational capacity. Reinforcement learning methods have achieved great success by creating agents that optimize engineered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Alejandro Daniel Noel , Charel van Hoof , Beren Millidge

Incorporating causal knowledge and mechanisms is essential for refining causal models and improving downstream tasks such as designing new treatments. In this paper, we introduce a novel concept in causal discovery, termed interventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Zhigao Guo , Feng Dong

This paper presents a computational account of how legal norms can influence the behavior of artificial intelligence (AI) agents, grounded in the active inference framework (AIF) that is informed by principles of economic legal analysis…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Axel Constant , Mahault Albarracin , Karl J. Friston

Use-dependent bias is a phenomenon in human sensorimotor behavior whereby movements become biased towards previously repeated actions. Despite being well-documented, the reason why this phenomenon occurs is not yet clearly understood. Here,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-19 Hokin Deng , Adrian Haith

A multi-modal framework to generate user intention distributions when operating a mobile vehicle is proposed in this work. The model learns from past observed trajectories and leverages traversability information derived from the visual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Kavindie Katuwandeniya , Stefan H. Kiss , Lei Shi , Jaime Valls Miro

The development of automated vehicles has the potential to revolutionize transportation, but they are currently unable to ensure a safe and time-efficient driving style. Reliable models predicting human behavior are essential for overcoming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Julian F. Schumann , Aravinda Ramakrishnan Srinivasan , Jens Kober , Gustav Markkula , Arkady Zgonnikov

In this paper, we identify a radically new viewpoint on the collective behaviour of groups of intelligent agents. We first develop a highly general abstract model for the possible future lives that these agents may encounter as a result of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Richard P. Mann , Roman Garnett

In the domain of causal inference research, the prevalent potential outcomes framework, notably the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), often overlooks individual interference and assumes independent treatment effects. This assumption, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Hongtao Zhu , Sizhe Zhang , Yang Su , Zhenyu Zhao , Nan Chen

In this work, we build upon the Active Inference (AIF) and Predictive Coding (PC) frameworks to propose a neural architecture comprising a generative model for sensory prediction, and a distinct generative model for motor trajectories. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Louis Annabi , Alexandre Pitti , Mathias Quoy

Adaptive behavior in volatile environments requires agents to switch among value-control regimes across latent contexts, but maintaining separate preferences, policy biases, and action-confidence parameters for every situation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jacob Poschl

"Intrinsic motivation" refers to the capacity for intelligent systems to be motivated endogenously, i.e. by features of agential architecture itself rather than by learned associations between action and reward. This paper views active…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-14 Alex B. Kiefer

This work suggests modifications to a previously introduced class of heterogeneous agent models that allow for the inclusion of different types of agent motivations and behaviours in a unified way. The agents operate within a highly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. Lamba , T. Seaman

This paper proposes a generative probabilistic model integrating emergent communication and multi-agent reinforcement learning. The agents plan their actions by probabilistic inference, called control as inference, and communicate using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Tomoaki Nakamura , Akira Taniguchi , Tadahiro Taniguchi

Active sensing is traditionally defined as the expenditure of energy, typically in the form of movement, for obtaining information. Here, we propose that the combination of reliance on adaptive sensors, the linkage between movement and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-25 Andrew Lamperski , Debojyoti Biswas , Eric S. Fortune , John Guckenheimer , Kathleen Hoffman , Noah J. Cowan

The increasing capabilities of large generative models and their ever more widespread deployment have raised concerns about their reliability, safety, and potential misuse. To address these issues, recent works have proposed to control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Pau Rodriguez , Arno Blaas , Michal Klein , Luca Zappella , Nicholas Apostoloff , Marco Cuturi , Xavier Suau

Problem definition: Accurately modeling consumer behavior in energy operations is challenging due to uncertainty, behavioral heterogeneity, and limited empirical data-particularly in low-frequency, high-impact events. While generative AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Cong Chen , Omer Karaduman , Xu Kuang

We show that goal-directed action planning and generation in a teleological framework can be formulated using the free energy principle. The proposed model, which is built on a variational recurrent neural network model, is characterized by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Takazumi Matsumoto , Wataru Ohata , Fabien C. Y. Benureau , Jun Tani

We propose a model of a learning agent whose interaction with the environment is governed by a simulation-based projection, which allows the agent to project itself into future situations before it takes real action. Projective simulation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-03-19 Hans J. Briegel , Gemma De las Cuevas

The concept of free energy has its origins in 19th century thermodynamics, but has recently found its way into the behavioral and neural sciences, where it has been promoted for its wide applicability and has even been suggested as a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-08 Sebastian Gottwald , Daniel A. Braun