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This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

To operate in open-ended environments where humans interact in complex, diverse ways, autonomous robots must learn to predict their behaviour, especially when that behavior is potentially dangerous to other agents or to the robot. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Divya Thuremella , Lewis Ince , Lars Kunze

Accurate prediction of road accidents remains challenging due to intertwined spatial, temporal, and contextual factors in urban traffic. We propose MSGAT-GRU, a multi-scale graph attention and recurrent model that jointly captures localized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Thrinadh Pinjala , Aswin Ram Kumar Gannina , Debasis Dwibedy

A statistical predictive model in which a high-dimensional time-series regenerates at the end of each day is used to model road traffic. Due to the regeneration, prediction is based on a daily modeling using a vector autoregressive model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Mohammed Bouchouia , François Portier

Due to the complex and changing interactions in dynamic scenarios, motion forecasting is a challenging problem in autonomous driving. Most existing works exploit static road graphs to characterize scenarios and are limited in modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Xing Gao , Xiaogang Jia , Yikang Li , Hongkai Xiong

Accurate prediction of disease trajectories is critical for early identification and timely treatment of patients at risk. Conventional methods in survival analysis are often constrained by strong parametric assumptions and limited in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Daniel Jarrett , Jinsung Yoon , Mihaela van der Schaar

Interpretability plays a vital role in aligning and deploying deep learning models in critical care, especially in constantly evolving conditions that influence patient survival. However, common interpretability algorithms face unique…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Shashank Yadav , Vignesh Subbian

Spatio-temporal forecasting is an open research field whose interest is growing exponentially. In this work we focus on creating a complex deep neural framework for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting with comparatively very good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Rodrigo de Medrano , José L. Aznarte

Extreme events gain the attention of researchers due to their utmost importance in various contexts ranging from finance to climatology. This brings such recurrent events to the limelight of attention in interdisciplinary research. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Arnob Ray , Syamal K. Dana , Dibakar Ghosh

Behavior prediction of traffic actors is an essential component of any real-world self-driving system. Actors' long-term behaviors tend to be governed by their interactions with other actors or traffic elements (traffic lights, stop signs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Sumit Kumar , Yiming Gu , Jerrick Hoang , Galen Clark Haynes , Micol Marchetti-Bowick

Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Zeren Tan , Ruimin Li

Understanding the dynamics of truck volumes and activities across the skeleton traffic network is pivotal for effective traffic planning, traffic management, sustainability analysis, and policy making. Yet, relying solely on average annual…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Diyi Liu , Ankur Shiledar , Hyeonsup Lim , Vivek Sujan , Adam Siekmann , Junchuan Fan , Lee D. Han

Accurate Travel Time Estimation (TTE) is critical for ride-hailing platforms, where errors directly impact user experience and operational efficiency. While existing production systems excel at holistic route-level dependency modeling, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Wenzhao Jiang , Jindong Han , Ruiqian Han , Hao Liu

Trajectory prediction is fundamental to various intelligent technologies, such as autonomous driving and robotics. The motion prediction of pedestrians and vehicles helps emergency braking, reduces collisions, and improves traffic safety.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Binghao Li , Xianzhi Wang , Claude Sammut , Lina Yao

Highway driving places significant demands on human drivers and autonomous vehicles (AVs) alike due to high speeds and the complex interactions in dense traffic. Merging onto the highway poses additional challenges by limiting the amount of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Cyrus Anderson , Ram Vasudevan , Matthew Johnson-Roberson

A key question in clinical practice is accurate prediction of patient prognosis. To this end, nowadays, physicians have at their disposal a variety of tests and biomarkers to aid them in optimizing medical care. These tests are often…

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair