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Online bidding is a classic optimization problem, with several applications in online decision-making, the design of interruptible systems, and the analysis of approximation algorithms. In this work, we study online bidding under…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Spyros Angelopoulos , Bertrand Simon

We study a dynamic game where an expert sends probabilistic forecasts to a decision-maker. The decision-maker verifies these forecasts using a calibration test based on past data. How should the expert send forecasts to maximize her payoff…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-13 Atulya Jain , Vianney Perchet

Algorithms with predictions is a recent framework for decision-making under uncertainty that leverages the power of machine-learned predictions without making any assumption about their quality. The goal in this framework is for algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Eric Balkanski , Will Ma , Andreas Maggiori

Consider a collection of m competing machine learning algorithms. Given their performance on a benchmark of datasets, we would like to identify the best performing algorithm. Specifically, which algorithm is most likely to ``win'' (rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Amichai Painsky

In many online learning problems we are interested in predicting local information about some universe of items. For example, we may want to know whether two items are in the same cluster rather than computing an assignment of items to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-24 Paul Christiano

We study the effectiveness of stochastic side information in deterministic online learning scenarios. We propose a forecaster to predict a deterministic sequence where its performance is evaluated against an expert class. We assume that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Junzhang Jia , Xuetong Wu , Jingge Zhu , Jamie Evans

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

Algorithm selection, aiming to identify the best algorithm for a given problem, plays a pivotal role in continuous black-box optimization. A common approach involves representing optimization functions using a set of features, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Gašper Petelin , Gjorgjina Cenikj

Prediction is a well-studied machine learning task, and prediction algorithms are core ingredients in online products and services. Despite their centrality in the competition between online companies who offer prediction-based products,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Omer Ben-Porat , Moshe Tennenholtz

Current AI/ML methods for data-driven engineering use models that are mostly trained offline. Such models can be expensive to build in terms of communication and computing cost, and they rely on data that is collected over extended periods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Xiaoxuan Wang , Rolf Stadler

We design online algorithms for the fair allocation of public goods to a set of $N$ agents over a sequence of $T$ rounds and focus on improving their performance using predictions. In the basic model, a public good arrives in each round,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Siddhartha Banerjee , Vasilis Gkatzelis , Safwan Hossain , Billy Jin , Evi Micha , Nisarg Shah

Decision making is a fundamental capability of living organisms, and has recently been gaining increasing importance in many engineering applications. Here, we consider a simple decision-making principle to identify an optimal choice in…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-03-27 Tomoaki Niiyama , Genki Furuhata , Atsushi Uchida , Makoto Naruse , Satoshi Sunada

Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs) have become a popular tool in the field of Artificial Intelligence due to their very high training speed and generalization capabilities. Another advantage is that they have a single hyper-parameter that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Nicolás Nieto , Francisco Ibarrola , Victoria Peterson , Hugo Rufiner , Ruben Spies

In this work, we aim to create a completely online algorithmic framework for prediction with expert advice that is translation-free and scale-free of the expert losses. Our goal is to create a generalized algorithm that is suitable for use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

In this work, we investigate online mechanisms for trading time-sensitive valued data. We adopt a continuous function $d(t)$ to represent the data value fluctuation over time $t$. Our objective is to design an \emph{online} mechanism…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Shuangshuang Xue , Xiang-Yang Li

We consider a practically motivated variant of the canonical online fair allocation problem: a decision-maker has a budget of perishable resources to allocate over a fixed number of rounds. Each round sees a random number of arrivals, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Siddhartha Banerjee , Chamsi Hssaine , Sean R. Sinclair

We consider the problem of learning the optimal policy for Markov decision processes with safety constraints. We formulate the problem in a reach-avoid setup. Our goal is to design online reinforcement learning algorithms that ensure safety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Abhijit Mazumdar , Rafal Wisniewski , Manuela L. Bujorianu

We study a generalization of the online binary prediction with expert advice framework where at each round, the learner is allowed to pick $m\geq 1$ experts from a pool of $K$ experts and the overall utility is a modular or submodular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Omid Sadeghi , Maryam Fazel

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui

The Elo rating system is a highly successful ranking algorithm for games of skill where, by construction, one team wins and the other loses. A primary limitation of the original Elo algorithm is its inability to predict information beyond a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-05 J. Scott Moreland , Matthew C. Superdock