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Blockchain finance has become a part of the world financial system, most typically manifested in the attention to the price of Bitcoin. However, a great deal of work is still limited to using technical indicators to capture Bitcoin price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Panpan Li , Shengbo Gong , Shaocong Xu , Jiajun Zhou , Yu Shanqing , Qi Xuan

Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum have recently gained a lot of popularity, not only as a digital form of currency but also as an investment vehicle. Online marketplaces and exchanges allow users across the world to convert…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-07-17 Francesco Bortolussi , Zeger Hoogeboom , Frank W. Takes

Over the past decade, the blockchain technology and its Bitcoin cryptocurrency have received considerable attention. Bitcoin has experienced significant price swings in daily and long-term valuations. In this paper, we propose a partial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Yufang Wang , Haiyan Wang

In the distributed systems landscape, Blockchain has catalyzed the rise of cryptocurrencies, merging enhanced security and decentralization with significant investment opportunities. Despite their potential, current research on…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-11 Yihang Fu , Mingyu Zhou , Luyao Zhang

The rapid spread of information over social media influences quantitative trading and investments. The growing popularity of speculative trading of highly volatile assets such as cryptocurrencies and meme stocks presents a fresh challenge…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Ramit Sawhney , Shivam Agarwal , Vivek Mittal , Paolo Rosso , Vikram Nanda , Sudheer Chava

In this study the cross-correlations between the cryptocurrency market represented by the two most liquid and highest-capitalized cryptocurrencies: bitcoin and ethereum, on the one side, and the instruments representing the traditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-02 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

The detection of outliers within cryptocurrency limit order books (LOBs) is of paramount importance for comprehending market dynamics, particularly in highly volatile and nascent regulatory environments. This study conducts a comprehensive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Ivan Letteri

The goals of this paper are twofold: (1) to present a new method that is able to find linear laws governing the time evolution of Markov chains and (2) to apply this method for anomaly detection in Bitcoin prices. To accomplish these goals,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-25 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

Following the birth of Bitcoin and the introduction of the Ethereum ERC20 protocol a decade ago, recent years have witnessed a growing number of cryptographic tokens that are being introduced by researchers, private sector companies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-20 Shahar Somin , Goren Gordon , Alex Pentland , Erez Shmueli , Yaniv Altshuler

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

Nowadays, with the availability of massive amount of trade data collected, the dynamics of the financial markets pose both a challenge and an opportunity for high frequency traders. In order to take advantage of the rapid, subtle movement…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are becoming increasingly popular, having been widely used as an exchange medium in areas such as financial transaction and asset transfer verification. However, there has been a lack of solutions that can…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Shubhankar Mohapatra , Nauman Ahmed , Paulo Alencar

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile compared to traditional financial markets. Hence, forecasting its volatility is crucial for risk management. In this paper, we investigate CryptoQuant data (e.g. on-chain analytics, exchange and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Dorien Herremans , Kah Wee Low

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to multivariate forecasting cryptocurrency prices using a hybrid contextual model combining exponential smoothing (ES) and recurrent neural network (RNN). The model consists of two tracks: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Price movement prediction has always been one of the traders' concerns in financial market trading. In order to increase their profit, they can analyze the historical data and predict the price movement. The large size of the data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Naseh Majidi , Mahdi Shamsi , Farokh Marvasti

We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Tian Guo , Fabrizio Lillo

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

Predicting the direction of assets have been an active area of study and a difficult task. Machine learning models have been used to build robust models to model the above task. Ensemble methods is one of them showing results better than a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Avinash Barnwal , Hari Pad Bharti , Aasim Ali , Vishal Singh

Our work presents two fundamental contributions. On the application side, we tackle the challenging problem of predicting day-ahead crypto-currency prices. On the methodological side, a new dynamical modeling approach is proposed. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shalini Sharma , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira