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Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Predicting extreme events in chaotic systems, characterized by rare but intensely fluctuating properties, is of great importance due to their impact on the performance and reliability of a wide range of systems. Some examples include…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-06-17 Yuan Yuan , Adrian Lozano Duran

A central area of research in nonlinear science is the study of instabilities that drive the emergence of extreme events. Unfortunately, experimental techniques for measuring such phenomena often provide only partial characterization. For…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-06-19 Mikko Närhi , Lauri Salmela , Juha Toivonen , Cyril Billet , John M. Dudley , Goëry Genty

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Fluid thermodynamics underpins atmospheric dynamics, climate science, industrial applications, and energy systems. However, direct numerical simulations (DNS) of such systems can be computationally prohibitive. To address this, we present a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-11 Luca Menicali , Andrew Grace , David H. Richter , Stefano Castruccio

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

The applicability of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based design tools depend on the accuracy and complexity of the physical models, for example turbulence models, which remains an unsolved problem in physics, and rotor models that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-09 Shanti Bhushan , Greg W Burgreen , Joshua L Bowman , Ian D Dettwiller , Wesley Brewer

Reservoir computing has proven effective for tasks such as time-series prediction, particularly in the context of chaotic systems. However, conventional reservoir computing frameworks often face challenges in achieving high prediction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-28 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Atsushi Uchida

Computational fluid dynamics models based on Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes equations with turbulence closures still play important roles in engineering design and analysis. However, the development of turbulence models has been stagnant…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-04 Heng Xiao , Jin-Long Wu , Sylvain Laizet , Lian Duan

In this paper, the physics of flow instability and turbulent transition in shear flows is studied by analyzing the energy variation of fluid particles under the interaction of base flow with a disturbance. For the first time, a model…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-20 Hua-Shu Dou

Solving flow through porous media is a crucial step in the topology optimisation of cold plates, a key component in modern thermal management. Traditional computational fluid dynamics (CFD) methods, while accurate, are often prohibitively…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-10 Jinhong Wang , Matei C. Ignuta-Ciuncanu , Ricardo F. Martinez-Botas , Teng Cao

The statistics obtained from turbulent flow simulations are generally uncertain due to finite time averaging. The techniques available in the literature to accurately estimate these uncertainties typically only work in an offline mode, that…

We present a machine learning method to predict extreme hydrologic events from spatially and temporally varying hydrological and meteorological data. We used a timestep reduction technique to reduce the computational and memory requirements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-03 Nicholas Majeske , Bidisha Abesh , Chen Zhu , Ariful Azad

Scar theory is one of the fundamental pillars in the field of quantum chaos, and scarred functions a superb tool to carry out studies in it. Several methods, usually semiclassical, have been described to cope with these two phenomena. In…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-22 L. Domingo , J. Borondo , F. Borondo

Data-driven methods have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities in fluid mechanics, yet most current applications still focus on simplified configurations, often characterised by statistical stationarity or limited temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

We propose a combination of machine learning and flux limiting for property-preserving subgrid scale modeling in the context of flux-limited finite volume methods for the one-dimensional shallow-water equations. The numerical fluxes of a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-29 Ilya Timofeyev , Alexey Schwarzmann , Dmitri Kuzmin

Reservoir computing(RC) is a brain-inspired computing framework that employs a transient dynamical system whose reaction to an input signal is transformed to a target output. One of the central problems in RC is to find a reliable reservoir…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-26 Jaesung Choi , Pilwon Kim

Forecasting dynamical systems is of importance to numerous real-world applications. When possible, dynamical systems forecasts are constructed based on first-principles-based models such as through the use of differential equations. When…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Vinamr Jain , Romit Maulik

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi