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We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

The ubiquity of multiscale interactions in complex systems is well-recognized, with development and heredity serving as a prime example of how processes at different temporal scales influence one another. This work introduces a novel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler

We present a new method of learning control policies that successfully operate under unknown dynamic models. We create such policies by leveraging a large number of training examples that are generated using a physical simulator. Our system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Wenhao Yu , Jie Tan , C. Karen Liu , Greg Turk

We propose a new class of filtering and smoothing methods for inference in high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, spatio-temporal state-space models. The main idea is to combine the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, developed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Jonathan R. Stroud , Christopher K. Wikle

We present a filtering framework for online joint state estimation and parameter identification in nonlinear, time-varying systems. The algorithm uses Rao-Blackwellization technique to infer joint state-parameter posteriors efficiently. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Milad Banitalebi Dehkordi , Manas Mejari , Dario Piga

In conventional ODE modelling coefficients of an equation driving the system state forward in time are estimated. However, for many complex systems it is practically impossible to determine the equations or interactions governing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Markus Heinonen , Cagatay Yildiz , Henrik Mannerström , Jukka Intosalmi , Harri Lähdesmäki

Mechanistic models with differential equations are a key component of scientific applications of machine learning. Inference in such models is usually computationally demanding, because it involves repeatedly solving the differential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Jonathan Schmidt , Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

Learning the dynamics of robots from data can help achieve more accurate tracking controllers, or aid their navigation algorithms. However, when the actual dynamics of the robots change due to external conditions, on-line adaptation of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Bilal Wehbe , Marc Hildebrandt , Frank Kirchner

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

In this paper we explore the performance of deep hidden physics model (M. Raissi 2018) for autonomous systems. These systems are described by set of ordinary differential equations which do not explicitly depend on time. Such systems can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Vijay Kag

We present an efficient and practical (polynomial time) algorithm for online prediction in unknown and partially observed linear dynamical systems (LDS) under stochastic noise. When the system parameters are known, the optimal linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Paria Rashidinejad , Jiantao Jiao , Stuart Russell

State estimation refers to determining the states of a dynamical system that starts from a noisy initial condition and evolves under process noise, based on noisy measurements and a known system model. For linear dynamical systems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Avneet Kaur , Ruikun Zhou , Jun Liu , Kirsten Morris

This paper addresses the problem of online inverse reinforcement learning for nonlinear systems with modeling uncertainties while in the presence of unknown disturbances. The developed approach observes state and input trajectories for an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Ryan Self , Moad Abudia , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Because of physical assumptions and numerical approximations, low-order models are affected by uncertainties in the state and parameters, and by model biases. Model biases, also known as model errors or systematic errors, are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Large-scale dynamic inverse problems are often ill-posed due to model complexity and the high dimensionality of the unknown parameters. Regularization is commonly employed to mitigate ill-posedness by incorporating prior information and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Aryeh Keating , Mirjeta Pasha

Various neural network architectures are used in many of the state-of-the-art approaches for real-time nonlinear state estimation. With the ever-increasing incorporation of these data-driven models into the estimation domain, model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Devin Hunter , Chinwendu Enyioha

Low dimensional representations of words allow accurate NLP models to be trained on limited annotated data. While most representations ignore words' local context, a natural way to induce context-dependent representations is to perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 David Belanger , Sham Kakade

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Dynamic models of mechatronic systems are abundantly used in the context of motion control and design of complex servo applications. In practice, these systems are often plagued by unknown interactions, which make the physics-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Wannes De Groote , Edward Kikken , Erik Hostens , Sofie Van Hoecke , Guillaume Crevecoeur
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