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While trajectory prediction plays a critical role in enabling safe and effective path-planning in automated vehicles, standardized practices for evaluating such models remain underdeveloped. Recent efforts have aimed to unify dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Julian F. Schumann , Anna Mészáros , Jens Kober , Arkady Zgonnikov

Script is a kind of structured knowledge extracted from texts, which contains a sequence of events. Based on such knowledge, script event prediction aims to predict the subsequent event. To do so, two aspects should be considered for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Long Bai , Saiping Guan , Zixuan Li , Jiafeng Guo , Xiaolong Jin , Xueqi Cheng

We propose STONK (Stock Optimization using News Knowledge), a multimodal framework integrating numerical market indicators with sentiment-enriched news embeddings to improve daily stock-movement prediction. By combining numerical & textual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Sarthak Khanna , Armin Berger , David Berghaus , Tobias Deusser , Lorenz Sparrenberg , Rafet Sifa

In collaborative filtering, it is an important way to make full use of social information to improve the recommendation quality, which has been proved to be effective because user behavior will be affected by her friends. However, existing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Yunzhe Li , Yue Ding , Bo Chen , Xin Xin , Yule Wang , Yuxiang Shi , Ruiming Tang , Dong Wang

Accurate and robust stock trend forecasting has been a crucial and challenging task, as stock price changes are influenced by multiple factors. Graph neural network-based methods have recently achieved remarkable success in this domain by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Yingjie Niu , Lanxin Lu , Rian Dolphin , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong

Multi-turn interaction remains challenging for online reinforcement learning. A common solution is trajectory-level optimization, which treats each trajectory as a single training sample. However, this approach can be inefficient and yield…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yuhan Chen , Yuxuan Liu , Long Zhang , Pengzhi Gao , Jian Luan , Wei Liu

With the acceleration of urbanization, traffic forecasting has become an essential role in smart city construction. In the context of spatio-temporal prediction, the key lies in how to model the dependencies of sensors. However, existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Qian Ma , Zijian Zhang , Xiangyu Zhao , Haoliang Li , Hongwei Zhao , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Wanyu Wang

The majority of studies in the field of AI guided financial trading focus on purely applying machine learning algorithms to continuous historical price and technical analysis data. However, due to non-stationary and high volatile nature of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Ling Qi , Matloob Khushi , Josiah Poon

Representation learning produces models in different domains, such as store purchases, client transactions, and general people's behavior. However, such models for event sequences usually process each sequence in isolation, ignoring context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Petr Sokerin , Maria Kovaleva , Ekaterina Boyarina , Pavel Tikhomirov , Denis Vorobiyov , Alexey Zaytsev

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

As a branch of time series forecasting, stock movement forecasting is one of the challenging problems for investors and researchers. Since Transformer was introduced to analyze financial data, many researchers have dedicated themselves to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-12 Chufeng Li , Jianyong Chen

Accurate camera localization is an essential part of tracking systems. However, localization results are greatly affected by illumination. Including data collected under various lighting conditions can improve the robustness of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Sota Shoman , Tomohiro Mashita , Alexander Plopski , Photchara Ratsamee , Yuki Uranishi , Haruo Takemura

We explore generalizations of some integrated learning and optimization frameworks for data-driven contextual stochastic optimization that can adapt to heteroscedasticity. We identify conditions on the stochastic program, data generation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James Luedtke

The aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of stock trading systems that combine different models with data of different nature, such as financial and microeconomic information. Specifically, based on previous work by the authors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

Understanding how events are semantically related to each other is the essence of reading comprehension. Recent event-centric reading comprehension datasets focus mostly on event arguments or temporal relations. While these tasks partially…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Rujun Han , I-Hung Hsu , Jiao Sun , Julia Baylon , Qiang Ning , Dan Roth , Nanyun Peng

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

While stock prediction task traditionally relies on volume-price and fundamental data to predict the return ratio or price movement trend, sentiment factors derived from social media platforms such as StockTwits offer a complementary and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Xiang Li , Yiyan Qi , Jian Guo , Xiaowen Chu

Empirical risk minimization is the main tool for prediction problems, but its extension to relational data remains unsolved. We solve this problem using recent ideas from graph sampling theory to (i) define an empirical risk for relational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Victor Veitch , Morgane Austern , Wenda Zhou , David M. Blei , Peter Orbanz

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang