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We find that event features extracted by large language models (LLMs) are effective for text-based stock return prediction. Using a pre-trained LLM to extract event features from news articles, we propose a novel deep learning model based…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-24 Gang Li , Dandan Qiao , Mingxuan Zheng

Recent Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) have achieved remarkable progress on task-specific benchmarks, yet their evaluation methods remain constrained by isolated problem-solving paradigms. Existing benchmarks predominantly assess…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Zhuoshi Pan , Qizhi Pei , Yu Li , Qiyao Sun , Zinan Tang , H. Vicky Zhao , Conghui He , Lijun Wu

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

Network security events prediction helps network operators to take response strategies from a proactive perspective, and reduce the cost caused by network attacks, which is of great significance for maintaining the security of the entire…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Qiumei Cheng , Yi Shen , Dezhang Kong , Chunming Wu

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

Traffic prediction is a cornerstone of modern intelligent transportation systems and a critical task in spatio-temporal forecasting. Although advanced Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) and pre-trained models have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Weilin Ruan , Xilin Dang , Ziyu Zhou , Sisuo Lyu , Yuxuan Liang

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Accurate prediction of what types of patents that companies will apply for in the next period of time can figure out their development strategies and help them discover potential partners or competitors in advance. Although important, this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Tao Zou , Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Deqing Wang , Fuzhen Zhuang

Accurate modeling of inter-stock relationships is critical for stock price forecasting. However, existing methods predominantly focus on single-state relationships, neglecting the essential complementarity between dynamic and static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Long Chen , Huixin Bai , Mingxin Wang , Xiaohua Huang , Ying Liu , Jie Zhao , Ziyu Guan

Advances in information technology have increased the availability of time-stamped relational data such as those produced by email exchanges or interaction through social media. Whereas the associated information flows could be aggregated…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-03 Federica Bianchi , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Alessandro Lomi , Ernst C. Wit

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

Stock prices forecasting has always been a challenging task. Although many research projects try to address the problem, few of them pay attention to the varying degrees of dependencies between stock prices. In this paper, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Yuanzhe Jia , Ali Anaissi , Basem Suleiman

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

Time series forecasting uses historical data to predict future trends, leveraging the relationships between past observations and available features. In this paper, we propose RAFT, a retrieval-augmented time series forecasting method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Sungwon Han , Seungeon Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Sercan O Arik , Jinsung Yoon

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Fashion trend forecasting is of great research significance in providing useful suggestions for both fashion companies and fashion lovers. Although various studies have been devoted to tackling this challenging task, they only studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Yujuan Ding , Yunshan Ma , Lizi Liao , Wai Keung Wong , Tat-Seng Chua

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min