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Confidence estimates are often "detection-like" - driven by positive evidence in favour of a decision. This empirical observation has been interpreted as showing that human metacognition is limited by biases or heuristics. Here, we show…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-11 Wiktoria Kozyra , Kevin O'Neill , Stephen M. Fleming

A computational ethics framework is essential for AI and autonomous systems operating in complex, real-world environments. Existing approaches often lack the adaptability needed to integrate ethical principles into dynamic and ambiguous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Nijesh Upreti , Jessica Ciupa , Vaishak Belle

We use Gaussian mixtures to model formation and evolution of multi-modal beliefs and opinion uncertainty across social networks. In this model, opinions evolve by Bayesian belief update when incorporating exogenous factors (signals from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Yijun Chen , Farhad Farokhi , Yutong Bu , Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Jarra Horstman , Julian Greentree , Robin Evans , Andrew Melatos

Human cooperation depends on how accurately we infer others' motives--how much they value fairness, generosity, or self-interest from the choices they make. We model that process in binary dictator games, which isolate moral trade-offs…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-12 Gregory Stanley , Jun Zhang , Rick Lewis

Human-centered systems of systems such as social networks, Internet of Things, or healthcare systems are growingly becoming major facets of modern life. Realistic models of human behavior in such systems play a significant role in their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-28 Aghdas. Meghdadi , M. R. Akbarzadeh-T. , Kourosh Javidan

Every day, we judge the probability of propositions. When we communicate graded confidence (e.g. "I am 90% sure"), we enable others to gauge how much weight to attach to our judgment. Ideally, people should share their judgments to reach…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-10 Patrick Stinson , Jasper van den Bosch , Trenton Jerde , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

This paper proposes Bayesian Adaptive Trials (BAT) as both an efficient method to conduct trials and a unifying framework for evaluation social policy interventions, addressing limitations inherent in traditional methods such as Randomized…

The widespread adoption of online randomized controlled experiments (A/B Tests) for decision-making has created ongoing capacity constraints which necessitate interim analyses. As a consequence, platform users are increasingly motivated to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Abbas Zaidi , Rina Friedberg , Samir Khan , Yao-Yang Leow , Maulik Soneji , Houssam Nassif , Richard Mudd

Trust and confidence in democratic institutions is at an all-time low. At the same time, many of the complex issues faced by city administrators and politicians remain unresolved. To tackle these concerns, many argue that citizens should,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Jonathan Davies , Rob Procter

As machine learning algorithms are increasingly deployed for high-impact automated decision making, ethical and increasingly also legal standards demand that they treat all individuals fairly, without discrimination based on their age,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-03 Maarten Buyl , Tijl De Bie

Bayesian Belief Networks have been largely overlooked by Expert Systems practitioners on the grounds that they do not correspond to the human inference mechanism. In this paper, we introduce an explanation mechanism designed to generate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Peter Sember , Ingrid Zukerman

In this paper, we introduce a two-stage Bayesian persuasion model in which a third-party platform controls the information available to the sender about users' preferences. We aim to characterize the optimal information disclosure policy of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Itai Arieli , Omer Madmon , Moshe Tennenholtz

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and optimization hold substantial promise for improving the efficiency, reliability, and resilience of engineered systems. Due to the networked nature of many engineered systems, ethically…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Rosemarie Santa Gonzalez , Ryan Piansky , Sue M Bae , Justin Biddle , Daniel Molzahn

Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology epitomizes the complex challenges posed by human-made artifacts, particularly those widely integrated into society and exerting significant influence, highlighting potential benefits and their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Michael Papademas , Xenia Ziouvelou , Antonis Troumpoukis , Vangelis Karkaletsis

The social implications of algorithmic decision-making in sensitive contexts have generated lively debates among multiple stakeholders, such as moral and political philosophers, computer scientists, and the public. Yet, the lack of a common…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Atoosa Kasirzadeh

This study empirically examines the "Evaluative AI" framework, which aims to enhance the decision-making process for AI users by transitioning from a recommendation-based approach to a hypothesis-driven one. Rather than offering direct…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Jaroslaw Kornowicz

Being able to correctly aggregate the beliefs of many people into a single belief is a problem fundamental to many important social, economic and political processes such as policy making, market pricing and voting. Although there exist…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Dhaval Adjodah , Yan Leng , Shi Kai Chong , Peter Krafft , Alex Pentland

The Metaverse is poised to be a future platform that redefines what it means to communicate, socialize, and interact with each other. Yet, it is important for us to consider avoiding the pitfalls of social media platforms we use today;…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Yun Suen Pai , Mark Armstrong , Kinga Skiers , Anish Kundu , Danyang Peng , Yixin Wang , Tamil Selvan Gunasekaran , Chi-Lan Yang , Kouta Minamizawa

Value learning is a crucial aspect of safe and ethical AI. This is primarily pursued by methods inferring human values from behaviour. However, humans care about much more than we are able to demonstrate through our actions. Consequently,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Paul de Font-Reaulx

We investigate the problem of truth discovery based on opinions from multiple agents who may be unreliable or biased. We consider the case where agents' reliabilities or biases are correlated if they belong to the same community, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Jielong Yang , Junshan Wang , Wee Peng Tay