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For each of $T$ time steps, $m$ experts report probability distributions over $n$ outcomes; we wish to learn to aggregate these forecasts in a way that attains a no-regret guarantee. We focus on the fundamental and practical aggregation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Eric Neyman , Tim Roughgarden

This work focuses on the setting of dynamic regret in the context of online learning with full information. In particular, we analyze regret bounds with respect to the temporal variability of the loss functions. By assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

In two-player zero-sum games, the learning dynamic based on optimistic Hedge achieves one of the best-known regret upper bounds among strongly-uncoupled learning dynamics. With an appropriately chosen learning rate, the social and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Taira Tsuchiya

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

This paper investigates the benefits of the side information on the universal compression of sequences from a mixture of $K$ parametric sources. The output sequence of the mixture source is chosen from the source $i \in \{1,\ldots ,K\}$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-01 Ahmad Beirami , Liling Huang , Mohsen Sardari , Faramarz Fekri

Consider a sequence of bits where we are trying to predict the next bit from the previous bits. Assume we are allowed to say 'predict 0' or 'predict 1', and our payoff is +1 if the prediction is correct and -1 otherwise. We will say that at…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-10-11 Michael Kapralov , Rina Panigrahy

We study a variant of online convex optimization where the player is permitted to switch decisions at most $S$ times in expectation throughout $T$ rounds. Similar problems have been addressed in prior work for the discrete decision set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Uri Sherman , Tomer Koren

We present simple and efficient algorithms for the batched stochastic multi-armed bandit and batched stochastic linear bandit problems. We prove bounds for their expected regrets that improve over the best-known regret bounds for any number…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Hossein Esfandiari , Amin Karbasi , Abbas Mehrabian , Vahab Mirrokni

We consider the classic problem of online convex optimisation. Whereas the notion of static regret is relevant for stationary problems, the notion of switching regret is more appropriate for non-stationary problems. A switching regret is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Stephen Pasteris , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis , Mark Herbster

We revisit the sequential variants of linear regression with the squared loss, classification problems with hinge loss, and logistic regression, all characterized by unbounded losses in the setup where no assumptions are made on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

The problem of regret minimization for online adaptive control of linear-quadratic systems is studied. In this problem, the true system transition parameters (matrices $A$ and $B$) are unknown, and the objective is to design and analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mohammad Akbari , Bahman Gharesifard , Tamas Linder

In this paper, we study the problem of regret minimization for episodic Reinforcement Learning (RL) both in the model-free and the model-based setting. We focus on learning with general function classes and general model classes, and we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Grigoris Velegkas , Zhuoran Yang , Amin Karbasi

We study the problem of worst case regret in piecewise stationary multi armed bandits. While the minimax theory for stationary bandits is well established, understanding analogous limits in time-varying settings is challenging. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Gal Mendelson , Eyal Tadmor

This paper proposes a theoretical analysis of recommendation systems in an online setting, where items are sequentially recommended to users over time. In each round, a user, randomly picked from a population of $m$ users, requests a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Kaito Ariu , Narae Ryu , Se-Young Yun , Alexandre Proutière

Techniques for decision making with knowledge of linear constraints on condition probabilities are examined. These constraints arise naturally in many situations: upper and lower condition probabilities are known; an ordering among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Michael Pittarelli

We study online prediction where regret of the algorithm is measured against a benchmark defined via evolving constraints. This framework captures online prediction on graphs, as well as other prediction problems with combinatorial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We study the online learnability of hypothesis classes with respect to arbitrary, but bounded loss functions. No characterization of online learnability is known at this level of generality. We give a new scale-sensitive combinatorial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Vinod Raman , Unique Subedi , Ambuj Tewari

In this work, we study the online convex optimization problem with curved losses and delayed feedback. When losses are strongly convex, existing approaches obtain regret bounds of order $d_{\max} \ln T$, where $d_{\max}$ is the maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Hao Qiu , Emmanuel Esposito , Mengxiao Zhang

The goal of online prediction with expert advice is to find a decision strategy which will perform almost as well as the best expert in a given pool of experts, on any sequence of outcomes. This problem has been widely studied and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Robert C. Williamson , Xinhua Zhang

This paper introduces \textit{online bilevel optimization} in which a sequence of time-varying bilevel problems is revealed one after the other. We extend the known regret bounds for online single-level algorithms to the bilevel setting.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , Parvin Nazari , Bojian Hou , Li Shen , Laura Balzano