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We analyze the problem of sequential probability assignment for binary outcomes with side information and logarithmic loss, where regret---or, redundancy---is measured with respect to a (possibly infinite) class of experts. We provide upper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-30 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We study the problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss, both with and without side information. Our objective is to analyze the minimax regret -- a notion extensively studied in the literature -- in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Zeyu Jia , Yury Polyanskiy , Alexander Rakhlin

We study the effectiveness of stochastic side information in deterministic online learning scenarios. We propose a forecaster to predict a deterministic sequence where its performance is evaluated against an expert class. We assume that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Junzhang Jia , Xuetong Wu , Jingge Zhu , Jamie Evans

We consider the classical problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss while competing against an arbitrary, potentially nonparametric class of experts. We obtain tight bounds on the minimax regret via a new approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

We study the problem of expert advice under partial bandit feedback setting and create a sequential minimax optimal algorithm. Our algorithm works with a more general partial monitoring setting, where, in contrast to the classical bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We study the problem of sequential prediction and online minimax regret with stochastically generated features under a general loss function. We introduce a notion of expected worst case minimax regret that generalizes and encompasses prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We study batch learning with log-loss in the individual setting, where the outcome sequence is deterministic. Because empirical statistics are not directly applicable in this regime, obtaining regret guarantees for batch learning has long…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yaniv Fogel , Meir Feder

In online learning, the data is provided in a sequential order, and the goal of the learner is to make online decisions to minimize overall regrets. This note is concerned with continuous-time models and algorithms for several online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-20 Lexing Ying

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

We derive a conditional version of the classical regret-capacity theorem. This result can be used in universal prediction to find lower bounds on the minimal batch regret, which is a recently introduced generalization of the average regret,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

We derive sublinear regret bounds for undiscounted reinforcement learning in continuous state space. The proposed algorithm combines state aggregation with the use of upper confidence bounds for implementing optimism in the face of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-12 Ronald Ortner , Daniil Ryabko

This work introduces the first small-loss and gradual-variation regret bounds for online portfolio selection, marking the first instances of data-dependent bounds for online convex optimization with non-Lipschitz, non-smooth losses. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Chung-En Tsai , Ying-Ting Lin , Yen-Huan Li

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

We study the problem of online learning with a notion of regret defined with respect to a set of strategies. We develop tools for analyzing the minimax rates and for deriving regret-minimization algorithms in this scenario. While the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-13 Wei Han , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We consider a sequential learning problem with Gaussian payoffs and side information: after selecting an action $i$, the learner receives information about the payoff of every action $j$ in the form of Gaussian observations whose mean is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-29 Yifan Wu , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

We address online linear optimization problems when the possible actions of the decision maker are represented by binary vectors. The regret of the decision maker is the difference between her realized loss and the best loss she would have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Jean-Yves Audibert , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi

This paper establishes minimax rates for online regression with arbitrary classes of functions and general losses. We show that below a certain threshold for the complexity of the function class, the minimax rates depend on both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-28 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Stochastic and adversarial data are two widely studied settings in online learning. But many optimization tasks are neither i.i.d. nor fully adversarial, which makes it of fundamental interest to get a better theoretical understanding of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Sarah Sachs , Hédi Hadiji , Tim van Erven , Cristóbal Guzmán
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