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Gaussian process regression is a well-established Bayesian machine learning method. We propose a new approach to Gaussian process regression using quantum kernels based on parameterized quantum circuits. By employing a hardware-efficient…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-06 Frederic Rapp , Marco Roth

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

In this work we explore a straightforward variational Bayes scheme for Recurrent Neural Networks. Firstly, we show that a simple adaptation of truncated backpropagation through time can yield good quality uncertainty estimates and superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Meire Fortunato , Charles Blundell , Oriol Vinyals

A Gaussian process (GP)-based methodology is proposed to emulate complex dynamical computer models (or simulators). The method relies on emulating the numerical flow map of the system over an initial (short) time step, where the flow map is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Kernel methods are powerful and flexible approach to solve many problems in machine learning. Due to the pairwise evaluations in kernel methods, the complexity of kernel computation grows as the data size increases; thus the applicability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Bharath Bhushan Damodaran , Nicolas Courty , Philippe-Henri Gosselin

In this paper we present an enhancement of the regression-based variance reduction approaches recently proposed in Belomestny et al. This enhancement is based on a truncation of the control variate and allows for a significant reduction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Randomized algorithms exploit stochasticity to reduce computational complexity. One important example is random feature regression (RFR) that accelerates Gaussian process regression (GPR). RFR approximates an unknown function with a random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Nicholas H. Nelsen , Maya Mutic

As is well known, both sampling from the posterior and computing the mean of the posterior in Gaussian process regression reduces to solving a large linear system of equations. We study the use of stochastic gradient descent for solving…

Variational Gaussian process (GP) approximations have become a standard tool in fast GP inference. This technique requires a user to select variational features to increase efficiency. So far the common choices in the literature are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Veit Wild , George Wynne

Truncated backpropagation through time (TBPTT) is a popular method for learning in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) that saves computation and memory at the cost of bias by truncating backpropagation after a fixed number of lags. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Christopher Aicher , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Let $U$ be a Haar distributed matrix in $\mathbb U(n)$ or $\mathbb O (n)$. In a previous paper, we proved that after centering, the two-parameter process \[T^{(n)} (s,t) = \sum_{i \leq \lfloor ns \rfloor, j \leq \lfloor nt\rfloor}…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Catherine Donati-Martin , Alain Rouault

Completely random measures (CRMs) and their normalizations are a rich source of Bayesian nonparametric priors. Examples include the beta, gamma, and Dirichlet processes. In this paper we detail two major classes of sequential CRM…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Trevor Campbell , Jonathan H. Huggins , Jonathan P. How , Tamara Broderick

Gaussian process hyperparameter optimization requires linear solves with, and log-determinants of, large kernel matrices. Iterative numerical techniques are becoming popular to scale to larger datasets, relying on the conjugate gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Random Fourier features provide a way to tackle large-scale machine learning problems with kernel methods. Their slow Monte Carlo convergence rate has motivated the research of deterministic Fourier features whose approximation error can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Frederiek Wesel , Kim Batselier

Gaussian process (GP) surrogates are the default tool for emulating expensive computer experiments, but cubic cost, stationarity assumptions, and Gaussian predictive distributions limit their reach. We propose Generative Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We study generalization properties of random features (RF) regression in high dimensions optimized by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in under-/over-parameterized regime. In this work, we derive precise non-asymptotic error bounds of RF…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Fanghui Liu , Johan A. K. Suykens , Volkan Cevher

Many large-scale stochastic optimization algorithms involve repeated solutions of linear systems or evaluations of log-determinants. In these regimes, computing exact solutions is often unnecessary; it is more computationally efficient to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Tianshi Xu , Difeng Cai , Hua Huang , Edmond Chow , Yuanzhe Xi
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