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The solar wind, a continuous stream of charged particles from the Sun's corona, shapes the heliosphere and impacts space systems near Earth. Variations such as high-speed streams and coronal mass ejections can disrupt satellites, power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Reza Mansouri , Dustin Kempton , Pete Riley , Rafal Angryk

We present a concept study of a solar wind forecasting method for Earth, based on persistence modeling from STEREO in-situ measurements combined with multi-viewpoint EUV observational data. By comparing the fractional areas of coronal holes…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-01 M. Temmer , J. Hinterreiter , M. A. Reiss

Numerical models of the solar wind and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) utilize photospheric magnetic field observations to prescribe the inner boundary conditions for the plasma solutions. These magnetic field data are available to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Nishtha Sachdeva , Zhenguang Huang , Gabor Toth , Hongfan Chen , Ward B. Manchester , Bart van der Holst

We have developed a data-driven magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model of the global solar corona which uses characteristically-consistent boundary conditions (BCs) at the inner boundary. Our global solar corona model can be driven by different…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Mehmet Sarp Yalim , Nikolai Pogorelov , Yang Liu

The outer heliosphere is a dynamic region shaped largely by the interaction between the solar wind and the interstellar medium. While interplanetary magnetic field and plasma observations by the Voyager spacecraft have significantly…

Space Physics · Physics 2016-12-07 T. K. Kim , N. V. Pogorelov , G. P. Zank , H. A. Elliott , D. J. McComas

We investigate the scaling properties of the long-range temporal evolution and intermittency of SDO/AIA intensity observations in four solar environments: an active region core, a weak emission region, and two core loops. We use two…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-15 Ana Cristina Cadavid , Yeimy J. Rivera , John K. Lawrence , Damian J. Christian , Peter J. Jennings , A. Franco Rappazzo

Forecasting models of the solar wind often rely on simple parameterizations of the magnetic field that ignore the effects of the full magnetic field geometry. In this paper, we present the results of two solar wind prediction models that…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Lauren N. Woolsey , Steven R. Cranmer

Heliophysics is central to understanding and forecasting space weather events and solar activity. Despite decades of high-resolution observations from the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), most models remain task-specific and constrained by…

Stellar coronae are believed to be the main birthplace of various stellar magnetic activities. However, the structures and properties of stellar coronae remain poorly understood. Using the Space Weather Modelling Framework with the…

The Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model has been the cornerstone of operational solar wind forecasting for nearly two decades, owing to its simplicity and physics-based formalism. However, its performance is strongly dependent on several…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-28 Prateek Mayank , Enrico Camporeale , Arpit K. Shrivastav , Thomas E. Berger , Charles N. Arge

The solar corona is host to a continuous flow of propagating disturbances (PD). These are continuous and ubiquitous across broad regions of the corona, including the quiet Sun. The aim of this paper is to present an improved, efficient…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-31 Huw Morgan , Marianna Korsos

The solar corona and young solar wind may be characterized by critical surfaces -- the sonic, Alfv\'en, and first plasma-$\beta$ unity surfaces -- that demarcate regions where the solar wind flow undergoes certain crucial transformations.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-20 Rohit Chhiber , Arcadi V. Usmanov , William H. Matthaeus , Melvyn L. Goldstein

Determining the mechanisms responsible for the heating of the coronal plasma and maintaining and accelerating the solar wind are long standing goals in solar physics. There is a clear need to constrain the energy, mass and momentum flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-21 R. J. Morton , E. Scullion , D. S. Bloomfield , J. A. McLaughlin , S. Regnier , S. W. McIntosh , S. Tomczyk , P. Young

Knowledge about the background solar wind plays a crucial role in the framework of space weather forecasting. In-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available for a few points in the heliosphere where spacecraft are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 C. Gressl , A. M. Veronig , M. Temmer , D. Odstrcil , J. A. Linker , Z. Mikic , P. Riley

The "middle corona" is a critical transition between the highly disparate physical regimes of the lower and outer solar corona. Nonetheless, it remains poorly understood due to the difficulty of observing this faint region (1.5-3 solar…

The elemental composition of the Sun's hot atmosphere, the corona, shows a distinctive pattern that is different than the underlying surface, or photosphere (Pottasch 1963). Elements that are easy to ionize in the chromosphere are enhanced…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-18 David H. Brooks , Deborah Baker , Lidia van Driel-Gesztelyi , Harry P. Warren , Stephanie L. Yardley

In recent years, space weather research has focused on developing modelling techniques to predict the arrival time and properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the Earth. The aim of this paper is to propose a new modelling technique…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-22 P. Pagano , D. H. Mackay , A. R. Yeates

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

Solar flare forecasting mainly relies on photospheric magnetograms and associated physical features to predict forthcoming flares. However, it is believed that flare initiation mechanisms often originate in the chromosphere and the lower…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Grégoire Francisco , Sabrina Guastavino , Teresa Barata , João Fernandes , Dario Del Moro

Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is providing an unprecedented view of the Sun's corona as it progressively dips closer into the solar atmosphere with each solar encounter. Each set of observations provides a unique opportunity to test and…