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Related papers: Model-based Prediction and Optimal Control of Pand…

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To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, several measures include lockdowns, rapid vaccination programs, school closures, and economic stimulus. These interventions can have positive or unintended negative consequences. Current research to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Gaurav Deshkar , Jayanta Kshirsagar , Harshal Hayatnagarkar , Janani Venugopalan

Pandemics can bring a range of devastating consequences to public health and the world economy. Identifying the most effective control strategies has been the imperative task all around the world. Various public health control strategies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Zhe Xu , Xiaoming Duan

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

Mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology must be consistent with observed data in order to generate reliable knowledge and evidence-based policy. Metapopulation systems, which consist of a network of connected sub-populations, pose…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-07 Jifan Li , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King , Mercedes Pascual , Ning Ning

Epidemiological forecasts are beset by uncertainties about the underlying epidemiological processes, and the surveillance process through which data are acquired. We present a Bayesian inference methodology that quantifies these…

Pragmatic trials increasingly define outcomes using real-world data such as electronic health records, where assessments are collected during routine care rather than at fixed timepoints. Consequently, these uncontrolled assessments may be…

Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Efficient management of spare parts inventory is crucial in the automotive aftermarket, where demand is highly intermittent and uncertainty drives substantial cost and service risks. Forecasting is therefore central, but the quality of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 So Fukuhara , Abdallah Alabdallah , Nuwan Gunasekara , Slawomir Nowaczyk

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

This study incorporates mathematical analysis, focusing on developing theories and conducting numerical simulations of Influenza virus transmission using real-world data. The terms in the equations introduce parameters which are determined…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Md Kamrujjaman , Kazi Mehedi Mohammad

Mathematical modeling of epidemic spreading has been widely adopted to estimate the threats of epidemic diseases (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic) as well as to evaluate epidemic control interventions. The indoor place is considered to be a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-14 Yao Xiao , Mofeng Yang , Zheng Zhu , Hai Yang , Lei Zhang , Sepehr Ghader

We present a sampling-based model predictive control (MPC) framework that enables emergent locomotion without relying on handcrafted gait patterns or predefined contact sequences. Our method discovers diverse motion patterns, ranging from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Fabian Schramm , Pierre Fabre , Nicolas Perrin-Gilbert , Justin Carpentier

Recent outbreaks of monkeypox and Ebola, and worrying waves of COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, have all led to a sharp increase in the use of epidemiological models to estimate key epidemiological parameters. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-01 B. K. M. Case , Jean-Gabriel Young , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Drug overdose deaths, including those due to prescription opioids, represent a critical public health issue in the United States and worldwide. Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches have been developed and deployed to help prescribers…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Venkatesh Sivaraman , Yejun Kwak , Courtney Kuza , Qingnan Yang , Kayleigh Adamson , Katie Suda , Lu Tang , Walid Gellad , Adam Perer

This work focuses on optimal controls of a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models under regime switching. By assuming that a decision maker can either influence the infectivity period or isolate infected individuals, our aim is to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Ky Tran , George Yin

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, it has rapidly evolved into a sudden and major public health emergency globally. With the variants of COVID-19, the difficulty of pandemic control continues to increase, which has brought significant costs to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-26 Yufei Wang , Mingzhuang Hua , Xuewu Chen , Wendong Chen , Long Cheng

In many human-in-the-loop robotic applications such as robot-assisted surgery and remote teleoperation, predicting the intended motion of the human operator may be useful for successful implementation of shared control, guidance virtual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Arun Kumar Singh , Sigal Berman , Ilana Nisky

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, SIRD model, to allow for time varying parameters for real-time measurement of the stance of the COVID-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured using the generalized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-11 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

The opioid epidemic remains a major public health challenge in the United States, requiring a multi-pronged intervention approach to mitigate harms to communities. Given the heterogeneity of the epidemic across the country, it is crucial…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Abdulrahman A. Ahmed , M. Amin Rahimian , Qiushi Chen , Praveen Kumar