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The widespread, and in many countries unprecedented, use of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) during the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for mathematical models which can estimate the impact of these measures while…

We discuss issues of structural and practical identifiability of partially observed differential equations which are often applied in systems biology. The development of mathematical methods to investigate structural non-identifiability has…

The dynamics of systems biological processes are usually modeled by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with many unknown parameters that need to be inferred from noisy and sparse measurements. Here, we introduce…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-04 Mitchell Daneker , Zhen Zhang , George Em Karniadakis , Lu Lu

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

While it is well known that high levels of prenatal alcohol exposure (PAE) result in significant cognitive deficits in children, the exact nature of the dose response is less well understood. In particular, there is a pressing need to…

Identifiability concerns finding which unknown parameters of a model can be quantified from given input-output data. Many linear ODE models, used in systems biology and pharmacokinetics, are unidentifiable, which means that parameters can…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Nicolette Meshkat , Seth Sullivant

Disease models are used to examine the likely impact of therapies, interventions and public policy changes. Ensuring that these are well calibrated on the basis of available data and that the uncertainty in their projections is properly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-24 Daria Semochkina , Cathal Walsh

The mitotic cell cycle governs DNA replication and cell division. The effectiveness of radiotherapy and chemotherapy depends on cell-cycle position, with increased resistance during DNA replication and mitosis. Thus, accurate mathematical…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Ruby E. Nixson , Helen M. Byrne , Joe M. Pitt-Francis , Philip K. Maini

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

Statistical latent class models are widely used in social and psychological researches, yet it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of the model parameters. In this paper we consider the identifiability issue of a family of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Gongjun Xu

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

Many models in mathematical epidemiology are developed with the aim to provide a framework for parameter estimation and then prediction. It is well-known that parameters are not always uniquely identifiable. In this paper we consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-17 István Zoltán Kiss , Péter L. Simon

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Ranjani Srinivasan , Jaron Lee , Rohit Bhattacharya , Narges Ahmidi , Ilya Shpitser

The concept of identifiability describes the possibility of inferring the parameters of a dynamic model by observing its output. It is common and useful to distinguish between structural and practical identifiability. The former property is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-23 Alejandro F. Villaverde

When employing mechanistic models to study biological phenomena, practical parameter identifiability is important for making accurate predictions across wide range of unseen scenarios, as well as for understanding the underlying mechanisms.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-19 Yue Liu , Kevin Suh , Philip K. Maini , Daniel J. Cohen , Ruth E. Baker

Understanding age-group dynamics of infectious diseases is a fundamental issue for both scientific study and policymaking. Age-structure epidemic models were developed in order to study and improve our understanding of these dynamics. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-22 Rami Yaari , Amit Huppert , Itai Dattner

Age structure is incorporated in many types of epidemic model. Often it is convenient to assume that such models converge to early asymptotic behaviour quickly, before the susceptible population has been appreciably depleted. We make use of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-19 Christopher A. Rhodes , Thomas House

The identifiability analysis of linear Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) systems is a necessary prerequisite for making reliable causal inferences about these systems. While identifiability has been well studied in scenarios where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yuanyuan Wang , Biwei Huang , Wei Huang , Xi Geng , Mingming Gong

Computational inverse problems for biomedical simulators suffer from limited data and relatively high parameter dimensionality. This often requires sensitivity analysis, where parameters of the model are ranked based on their influence on…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Mitchel J. Colebank

While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes