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Prediction markets are long known for prediction accuracy. This study systematically explores the fundamental properties of prediction markets, addressing questions about their information aggregation process and the factors contributing to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Dian Yu , Jianjun Gao , Weiping Wu , Zizhuo Wang

We consider a generalization of the recursive utility model by adding a new component that represents utility of investment gains and losses. We also study the utility process in this generalized model with constant elasticity of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Jing Guo , Xue Dong He

We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alexander M. G. Cox , David Hobson , Jan Obloj

We study a general robust utility maximization problem in a discrete-time frictionless market. The investor is assumed to have a possibly infinite, random, nonconcave, and nondecreasing utility function defined on the whole real line. She…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

Ergodicity describes an equivalence between the expectation value and the time average of observables. Applied to human behaviour, ergodic theories of decision-making reveal how individuals should tolerate risk in different environments. To…

In this paper we study a robust expected utility maximization problem with random endowment in discrete time. We give conditions under which an optimal strategy exists and derive a dual representation for the optimal utility. Our approach…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Daniel Bartl , Patrick Cheridito , Michael Kupper

Predicting future operational risk losses gives rise to a significant challenge due to the heterogeneous and time-dependent structures present in real-world data. Furthermore, stress test exercises require examining the relationship with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Nikeethan Selvaratnam , Dorinel Bastide , Clément Fernandes , Wojciech Pieczynski

Financial markets for Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) are an important and rapidly-growing segment of commodities markets. Like other commodities markets, there is an inherent spatial structure to LNG markets, with different price dynamics for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-25 Michael Weylandt , Yu Han , Katherine B. Ensor

By analysing the restrictions that ensure the existence of capital market equilibrium, we show that the coefficient of relative risk aversion and the subjective discount factor cannot be high simultaneously as they are supposed to be to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-30 Dominique Pepin

We study Pareto efficiency in a pure-exchange economy where agents' preferences are represented by risk-averse monetary utilities. These coincide with law-invariant monetary utilities, and they can be shown to correspond to the class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-15 Mario Ghossoub , Michael Boyuan Zhu

The inf-convolution of risk measures is directly related to risk sharing and general equilibrium, and it has attracted considerable attention in mathematical finance and insurance problems. However, the theory is restricted to finite sets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

This work is about understanding the impact of invariance and equivariance on generalisation in supervised learning. We use the perspective afforded by an averaging operator to show that for any predictor that is not equivariant, there is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Hayder Elesedy

Motivated by the analysis of a general optimal portfolio selection problem, which encompasses as special cases an optimal consumption and an optimal debt-arrangement problem, we are concerned with the questions of how a personality trait…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-14 Francesco Ruscitti , Ram Sewak Dubey , Giorgio Laguzzi

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

This paper studies a loss-averse version of the multiplicative habit formation preference and the corresponding optimal investment and consumption strategies over an infinite horizon. The agent's consumption preference is depicted by a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Bahman Angoshtari , Xiang Yu , Fengyi Yuan

In this paper the robust utility maximization problem for a market model based on L\'evy processes is analyzed. The interplay between the form of the utility function and the penalization function required to have a well posed problem is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-05 Daniel Hernández-Hernández , Leonel Pérez-Hernández

We show that under plausible levels of background risk, no theory of choice under risk -- such as expected utility theory, prospect theory, or rank dependent utility -- can simultaneously satisfy the following three economic postulates: (i)…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-09 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

For incomplete preference relations that are represented by multiple priors and/or multiple -- possibly multivariate -- utility functions, we define a certainty equivalent as well as the utility buy and sell prices and indifference price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Birgit Rudloff , Firdevs Ulus

We study an optimization problem for a portfolio with a risk-free, a liquid, and an illiquid risky asset. The illiquid risky asset is sold in an exogenous random moment with a prescribed liquidation time distribution. The investor prefers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-11 Ljudmila A. Bordag

Equity premium, the surplus returns of stocks over bonds, has been an enduring puzzle. While numerous prior works approach the problem assuming the utility of money is invariant across contexts, our approach implies that in efficient…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-18 B. N. Kausik