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Quantifying the uncertainty from machine learning analyses is critical to their use in the physical sciences. In this work we focus on uncertainty inherited from the initialization distribution of neural networks. We compute the mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Ibrahim Elsharkawy , Yonatan Kahn , Benjamin Hooberman

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have recently emerged as the dominant model in computer vision. If provided with enough training data, they predict almost any visual quantity. In a discrete setting, such as classification, CNNs are not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-11-25 Deepak Pathak , Philipp Krähenbühl , Stella X. Yu , Trevor Darrell

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Epistemic uncertainty is often viewed as a reducible uncertainty that vanishes with increasing data. This perspective implicitly assumes parameter identifiability and equates epistemic uncertainty with predictive variability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 David Rügamer

Estimation of model uncertainty can help improve the explainability of Graph Convolutional Networks and the accuracy of the models at the same time. Uncertainty can also be used in critical applications to verify the results of the model by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Illia Oleksiienko , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have achieved breakthrough performances in a wide range of applications including image classification, semantic segmentation, and object detection. Previous research on characterizing the generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-04 Shan Lin , Jingwei Zhang

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) have been successful in processing data signals that are uniformly sampled in the spatial domain (e.g., images). However, most data signals do not natively exist on a grid, and in the process of being…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Chiyu "Max" Jiang , Dequan Wang , Jingwei Huang , Philip Marcus , Matthias Nießner

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) are nonlinear processing tools to learn representations from network data. A key property of GCNNs is their stability to graph perturbations. Current analysis considers deterministic perturbations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi , Alejandro Ribeiro

The inputs of deep neural network (DNN) from real-world data usually come with uncertainties. Yet, it is challenging to propagate the uncertainty in the input features to the DNN predictions at a low computational cost. This work employs a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Weiqi Ji , Zhuyin Ren , Chung K. Law

Surface normal estimation from a single image is an important task in 3D scene understanding. In this paper, we address two limitations shared by the existing methods: the inability to estimate the aleatoric uncertainty and lack of detail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Gwangbin Bae , Ignas Budvytis , Roberto Cipolla

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainties by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-17 Sujay Thakur , Cooper Lorsung , Yaniv Yacoby , Finale Doshi-Velez , Weiwei Pan

Following the growing success of generative neural networks in LHC simulations, the crucial question is how to control the networks and assign uncertainties to their event output. We show how Bayesian normalizing flow or invertible networks…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-12-07 Marco Bellagente , Manuel Haußmann , Michel Luchmann , Tilman Plehn

The non-uniform blur of atmospheric turbulence can be modeled as a superposition of linear motion blur kernels at a patch level. We propose a regression convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict angle and length of a linear motion blur…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-07 Luis G. Varela , Laura E. Boucheron , Steven Sandoval , David Voelz , Abu Bucker Siddik

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

We consider functions from the real numbers to the real numbers, output by a neural network with 1 hidden activation layer, arbitrary width, and ReLU activation function. We assume that the parameters of the neural network are chosen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 David Holmes

Deep neural networks have shown great achievements in solving complex problems. However, there are fundamental problems that limit their real world applications. Lack of measurable criteria for estimating uncertainty in the network outputs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alireza Norouzi , Ali Emami , S. M. Reza Soroushmehr , Nader Karimi , Shadrokh Samavi , Kayvan Najarian

The usual figure of merit characterizing the performance of neural networks applied to problems in the quantum domain is their accuracy, being the probability of a correct answer on a previously unseen input. Here we append this parameter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 Jan Wasilewski , Tomasz Paterek , Karol Horodecki

A fundamental problem in object recognition is the development of image representations that are invariant to common transformations such as translation, rotation, and small deformations. There are multiple hypotheses regarding the source…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Eric Kauderer-Abrams

Extended Kalman Filtering (EKF) can be used to propagate and quantify input uncertainty through a Deep Neural Network (DNN) assuming mild hypotheses on the input distribution. This methodology yields results comparable to existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Jessica S. Titensky , Hayden Jananthan , Jeremy Kepner

This paper investigates the numerical uncertainty of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) inference for structural brain MRI analysis. It applies Random Rounding -- a stochastic arithmetic technique -- to CNN models employed in non-linear…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-07 Inés Gonzalez Pepe , Vinuyan Sivakolunthu , Hae Lang Park , Yohan Chatelain , Tristan Glatard